How do I trade on "Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

Taipei Mayor Election Winner

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN2 optionsCloses Nov 29, 2026Research 1h ago

Polymarket price · top 2 of 2 options

Chiang Wan-an 63%Puma Shen 38%

2 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Chiang Wan-an63%+3.0 pts68%4 · 1

Puma Shen38%−3.0 pts37%1 · 1

2 options trading, by chance. +1 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Chiang Wan-an63%68%+5

Puma Shen38%37%−1

AI analysts' average · Chiang Wan-an

68%

5 pts above the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

Chiang Wan-an: AI 68% vs market 63%, 5 pts above

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Polymarket's election traders by 3-month profit · updated 38m ago

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

Chiang Wan-an54 · 1

Puma Shen21 · 1

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 2 options

Resolution criteria: Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Taipei Mayor Election Winner

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN2 optionsCloses Nov 29, 2026Research 1h ago

Polymarket price · top 2 of 2 options

Chiang Wan-an 63%Puma Shen 38%

2 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Chiang Wan-an63%+3.0 pts68%4 · 1

Puma Shen38%−3.0 pts37%1 · 1

2 options trading, by chance. +1 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Chiang Wan-an63%68%+5

Puma Shen38%37%−1

AI analysts' average · Chiang Wan-an

68%

5 pts above the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

Chiang Wan-an: AI 68% vs market 63%, 5 pts above

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Polymarket's election traders by 3-month profit · updated 38m ago

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

Chiang Wan-an54 · 1

Puma Shen21 · 1

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 2 options

Resolution criteria: Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Taipei Mayor Election Winner

1AI analysts

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

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Taipei Mayor Election Winner

1AI analysts

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

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AI analysts

AI analysts