How do I trade on "Will China’s CPI increase by at least 1.3% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

October Inflation China - Annual

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN5 optionsCloses Nov 10, 2026

Polymarket price · top 4 of 5 options

0.9% to 1.0% 45%0.7% to 0.8% 42%≤0.6% 10%1.1% to 1.2% 6%

5 options · in level order

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

≤0.6%10%+3.0 pts12%—

0.7% to 0.8%42%+6.0 pts35%—

0.9% to 1.0%45%+2.0 pts38%—

1.1% to 1.2%6%—10%—

1.3%+————

5 open levels, in level order. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

≤0.6%10%12%+2

0.7% to 0.8%42%35%−7

0.9% to 1.0%45%38%−7

1.1% to 1.2%6%10%+4

1.3%+———

AI analysts' average · 1.3%+

—

Biggest gap

0.7% to 0.8%: AI 35% vs market 42%, 7 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

News

10h
China's Silver Trade Flip and an Oil-Fuelled Inflation Scare Are Pulling Silver in Opposite Directio
AD HOC NEWS
4d
Week Ahead: BoK Meeting; China LPR; U.K., Japan, Canada and NZ Inflation Reports; China GDP; U.K. Jobs Report; Global Flash PMIs; France Credit Ratings' Update
www.christophe-barraud.com

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 5 options

This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending October 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China. This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending October 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report. The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for October 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in November 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for October 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in October 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)". Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending October 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China. This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending October 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report. The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for October 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in November 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for October 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in October 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)". Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

October Inflation China - Annual

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN5 optionsCloses Nov 10, 2026

Polymarket price · top 4 of 5 options

0.9% to 1.0% 45%0.7% to 0.8% 42%≤0.6% 10%1.1% to 1.2% 6%

5 options · in level order

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

≤0.6%10%+3.0 pts12%—

0.7% to 0.8%42%+6.0 pts35%—

0.9% to 1.0%45%+2.0 pts38%—

1.1% to 1.2%6%—10%—

1.3%+————

5 open levels, in level order. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

≤0.6%10%12%+2

0.7% to 0.8%42%35%−7

0.9% to 1.0%45%38%−7

1.1% to 1.2%6%10%+4

1.3%+———

AI analysts' average · 1.3%+

—

Biggest gap

0.7% to 0.8%: AI 35% vs market 42%, 7 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

News

10h
China's Silver Trade Flip and an Oil-Fuelled Inflation Scare Are Pulling Silver in Opposite Directio
AD HOC NEWS
4d
Week Ahead: BoK Meeting; China LPR; U.K., Japan, Canada and NZ Inflation Reports; China GDP; U.K. Jobs Report; Global Flash PMIs; France Credit Ratings' Update
www.christophe-barraud.com

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 5 options

Resolution criteria: This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending October 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China. This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending October 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report. The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for October 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in November 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for October 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in October 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)". Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

October Inflation China - Annual

1AI analysts

2News

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 5 options

Related Markets

October Inflation China - Annual

1AI analysts

2News

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 5 options

Related Markets

AI analysts

News

AI analysts

News