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What will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit in October 2026?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN18 levels open3 closedCloses Nov 1, 2026

Polymarket chance · the 4 levels nearest 50%

↓ $155 63%↑ $175 53%↓ $150 46%↑ $180 40%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

18 levels open

OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
↑ $2304%−0.1 pts4%1 · 1
↑ $2254%−3.0 pts3%2 · 1
↑ $2206%−1.0 pts6%1 · 0
↑ $2159%−0.5 pts8%1 · 0
↑ $2108%−1.0 pts11%none
↑ $2059%−3.5 pts8%1 · 0
↑ $20012%−7.0 pts16%none
↑ $19514%−11.5 pts14%none
↑ $19020%−14.5 pts39%none
↑ $18530%−16.0 pts51%none
↑ $18040%−22.5 pts44%none
↑ $17553%−5.5 pts55%none
↑ $17070%−7.5 pts78%none
↓ $16080%+17.0 pts60%0 · 1
↓ $15563%+15.0 pts38%none
↓ $15046%+12.5 pts17%none
↓ $14533%+9.0 pts15%none
↓ $14021%+6.5 pts12%none
3 closed levels
↓ $175>99%+0.5 pts88%—
↓ $170>99%+0.1 pts83%—
↓ $16599%+17.5 pts75%—

18 options trading. +3 more on Polymarket

1AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
↑ $2304%4%0
↑ $2254%3%−1
↑ $2206%6%0
↑ $2159%8%−1
↑ $2108%11%+3
↑ $2059%8%−1
+12 more options

AI analysts' average · ↑ $180

44%

4 pts above the market · 1 AI analyst

Track record

Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 1 level, 0 price closer, on 176 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

2News

  • 6h
    Autonomous Research Adjusts Price Target on Coinbase Global to $130 From $135
    marketscreener.com
  • 7h
    Coinbase Global, Inc. $COIN Shares Sold by Robeco Institutional Asset Management B.V.
    MarketBeat
  • 1d
    Should You Buy Coinbase Stock Under $170?
    24/7 Wall St.
  • 1d
    Coinbase shares may move 6.8% on earnings release next week
    Investing.com
  • 1d
    How Much Downside Is Left In Coinbase Stock?
    Trefis
  • 1d
    'Long Coins, Short Stocks': Expert Bullish on Bitcoin, Cautious on XRP, Coinbase, Circle
    Benzinga
  • 1d
    Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: Can the Stock Move Higher?
    Yahoo Finance
  • 1d
    Should One Shrinking Number Scare You About Coinbase Stock?
    Trefis
  • 1d
    Coinbase Faces A Diversification Test As Trading Revenue Keeps Shrinking Toward $1.15 Billion
    Finviz
  • 2d
    Circle Internet Jumps 6% as OCC Finalizes GENIUS Act Stablecoin Rules; Strategy Surges 8%, Coinbase Climbs 5%
    Yahoo Finance
  • 2d
    Why Is Coinbase Stock Surging Wednesday?
    Benzinga
  • 2d
    Needham & Co Adjusts Coinbase Global Price Target to $205 From $200
    marketscreener.com
  • 2d
    Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) Outpaces Stock Market Gains: What You Should Know
    Yahoo Finance
  • 2d
    US Tiger Securities reiterates buy on Coinbase stock, cites Bitcoin rebound
    Investing.com
  • 3d
    What Could New Crypto Rules Mean For Coinbase Global (COIN) Stock?
    Simply Wall Street
  • 3d
    Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN80.BK) Recent Insider Transactions
    Yahoo! Finance Canada
  • 3d
    Coinbase Global Inc. Research & Ratings | COIN
    Barron's
  • 3d
    Coinbase (COIN) Is Leaning on Institutions as Retail Revenue Fell 31%
    Yahoo Finance
  • 4d
    CME vs. Coinbase Global: Which Financial Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026?
    The Motley Fool
  • 4d
    StoneX reiterates Buy on Coinbase stock ahead of Q3 earnings
    Investing.com
  • 4d
    Coinbase Global Inc (1QZ0.DU) Analyst insights, Price targets and Recommendations
    Yahoo Finance UK
  • 6d
    Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN80.BK) insider ownership and holdings
    Yahoo Finance UK
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
↑ $225Yes capibcapib: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 · No LiquidifierLiquidifier: Tier 2, #20 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T22 capibcapib: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1·ng6000ng6000: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 1 LiquidifierLiquidifier: Tier 2, #20 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T22 · 1
↑ $230Yes ng6000ng6000: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 · No capibcapib: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 ng6000ng6000: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 capibcapib: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 · 1
↑ $220Yes capibcapib: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 capibcapib: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T101 · 0
↑ $215Yes capibcapib: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 capibcapib: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T101 · 0
↑ $205Yes capibcapib: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 capibcapib: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T101 · 0
↓ $160No capibcapib: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T101 capibcapib: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T10 · 1

12 options: no ranked trader holds them

Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 21 options

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during October 2026, any 1-minute candle for Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.COIN%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.COIN%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during October 2026, any 1-minute candle for Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.COIN%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.COIN%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
How markets resolve
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↑ $180 · Buy YesOption 11 of 18

Polymarket price · live

Yes42¢
No62¢

Mid: The midpoint between the best price to buy and the best price to sell. When the spread is 10¢ or less, this is the chance the page shows. 40¢ · Spread: The gap between the best price to buy and the best price to sell. A wide spread means few orders near the price. 4¢

Trade on Polymarket

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Before you decide · ↑ $180

  • News2 today · latest 6h
  • AI analysts44% · 4 pts above
  • Tiers 1–2none of the top 50
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.