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MarketsCrypto

Total commitments for the 1win ($1w) public sale

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN5 levels openCloses Nov 3, 2026Research 4h ago

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

$20M 81%$30M 71%$40M 57%$60M 39%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.

5 levels open · in level order

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
$15M90%−0.5 pts80%—
$20M81%+0.5 pts77%—
$30M71%—60%—
$40M57%−0.5 pts49%—
$60M39%+4.5 pts45%—

5 open levels, in level order. +1 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

1AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 4h ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
$15M90%80%−10
$20M81%77%−4
$30M71%60%−11
$40M57%49%−8
$60M39%45%+6

AI analysts' average · $30M

60%

11 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

$30M: AI 60% vs market 71%, 11 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 5 options

Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if total commitments to the official 1W public sale exceed the specified value at any point before November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the headline pool total displayed on the official 1W Token Sale page at https://1wtoken.com/ (the "US$[amount] of US$[allocation]" figure). Total commitments refers to this gross pool amount, including any oversubscription above the sale's allocation, and not the final allocated amount after excess deposits are refunded. If the sale page displays only a net or allocated figure rather than the gross pool amount, official announcements of the gross amount from 1W will be used. The sale accepts deposits in US dollar stablecoins (USDC), which are counted as US dollars at 1:1. If the displayed figure exceeds the specified value at any point before November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of subsequent refunds or cancellations. A displayed figure exactly equal to the specified value will not qualify. If the figure on the sale page is unavailable, official announcements from 1W (https://x.com/1winToken) may be used; if no official figure is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. If no commitment total is verifiable by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, including because the sale is put on hold, cancelled, or rescheduled to a time past that date, this market will resolve to "No". If requisite information for this market's resolution becomes permanently unavailable within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". If the sale is extended before the official closing time, commitments made during the extended period will count toward resolution, provided the displayed figure exceeds the specified value before November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
How markets resolve
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

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Trade on Polymarket

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Before you decide · $30M

  • News0 today
  • AI analysts60% · 11 pts below
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.