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Who will attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN12 levels openCloses Dec 1, 2026Research 1h ago

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Zinedine Zidane 67%Michael Owen 54%Lionel Messi 49%David Beckham 33%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.

12 levels open · in level order

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Lionel Messi49%+0.5 pts35%none
Cristiano Ronaldo3%+0.9 pts3%none
Lamine Yamal95%—90%none
Kylian Mbappé77%−8.0 pts70%none
Ousmane Dembélé94%−3.0 pts90%none
Vinícius Júnior19%+2.0 pts15%none
Michael Owen54%−9.0 pts53%none
Zinedine Zidane67%+41.0 pts32%none
David Beckham33%−21.5 pts50%none
Xavi Hernandez5%−22.8 pts5%none
Kaka33%+8.5 pts30%none
Sergio Ramos15%+1.3 pts10%none

12 open levels, in level order. +2 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

1AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Lionel Messi49%35%−14
Cristiano Ronaldo3%3%0
Lamine Yamal95%90%−5
Kylian Mbappé77%70%−7
Ousmane Dembélé94%90%−4
Vinícius Júnior19%15%−4
+6 more options

AI analysts' average · Cristiano Ronaldo

3%

level with the market · 2 AI analysts

Biggest gap

Zinedine Zidane: AI 32% vs market 67%, 35 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

12 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 12 options

Resolution criteria
The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to be held in London on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, attending the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
How markets resolve
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

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Cristiano Ronaldo · Buy YesOption 2 of 12

Polymarket price · live

Yes3¢
No97¢
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Before you decide · Cristiano Ronaldo

  • News11 today · latest 7h
  • AI analysts3% · level
  • Tiers 1–2none of the top 50
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.