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Worlds 2026: Teams to Go 0-3 in Swiss Stage

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN12 levels openCloses Dec 15, 2026Research 19h ago

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

LOS 47%Movistar KOI 42%CTBC Flying Oyster 41%Top Esports 22%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

12 levels open · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
LOS47%−1.0 pts48%none
Movistar KOI42%+10.5 pts25%none
CTBC Flying Oyster41%+1.5 pts28%none
Top Esports22%+0.5 pts12%none
Karmine Corp21%+1.5 pts19%none
Team Secret Whales18%+1.5 pts18%none
T16%+4.6 pts—none
Dplus KIA4%——none
G2 Esports4%−0.2 pts8%none
Hanwha Life Esports2%——none
Bilibili Gaming2%——none
Gen.G1%——none

12 options trading, by chance. +4 more on Polymarket

1AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 19h ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
LOS47%48%+1
Movistar KOI42%25%−17
CTBC Flying Oyster41%28%−13
Top Esports22%12%−10
Karmine Corp21%19%−2
Team Secret Whales18%18%0
+6 more options

AI analysts' average · CTBC Flying Oyster

28%

13 pts below the market · 3 AI analysts

Biggest gap

Movistar KOI: AI 25% vs market 42%, 17 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

2News

  • 1d
    Worlds 2026 Pick'Em Guide: Swiss Stage Predictions & Rewards
    EGamersWorld
  • 5d
    Cloud9 become first team eliminated from Worlds 2026 after loss to FURIA
    Sheep Esports
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

12 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 12 options

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team finishes the Swiss Stage of the 2026 League of Legends World Championship (Worlds 2026) with a 0-3 match record, meaning it loses each of its first three Swiss Stage matches and is eliminated. Worlds 2026 is currently scheduled for October 15 to November 14, 2026, with the Swiss Stage scheduled for October 23 to October 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Match records count series results, not individual games: each Swiss Stage match counts once, whether it is played as a Bo1 or a Bo3. Forfeits and other administrative results count as officially recorded by Riot Games. If the listed team wins any Swiss Stage match, does not compete in the Swiss Stage (e.g. it is eliminated in the Play-In), or it otherwise becomes impossible for the listed team to finish the Swiss Stage 0-3, the associated market will resolve to "No". If Worlds 2026 is canceled, postponed after December 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the Swiss Stage results have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games, via the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/World_Championship/2026) may also be used.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team finishes the Swiss Stage of the 2026 League of Legends World Championship (Worlds 2026) with a 0-3 match record, meaning it loses each of its first three Swiss Stage matches and is eliminated. Worlds 2026 is currently scheduled for October 15 to November 14, 2026, with the Swiss Stage scheduled for October 23 to October 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Match records count series results, not individual games: each Swiss Stage match counts once, whether it is played as a Bo1 or a Bo3. Forfeits and other administrative results count as officially recorded by Riot Games. If the listed team wins any Swiss Stage match, does not compete in the Swiss Stage (e.g. it is eliminated in the Play-In), or it otherwise becomes impossible for the listed team to finish the Swiss Stage 0-3, the associated market will resolve to "No". If Worlds 2026 is canceled, postponed after December 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the Swiss Stage results have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games, via the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/World_Championship/2026) may also be used.
How markets resolve
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CTBC Flying Oyster · Buy YesOption 3 of 12

Polymarket price · live

Yes44¢
No62¢
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Before you decide · CTBC Flying Oyster

  • News0 today · latest 1d
  • AI analysts28% · 13 pts below
  • Tiers 1–2none of the top 50
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.