How do I trade on "Will "Disclosure Day" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN18 levels openCloses Jan 21, 2027Research 1h ago

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

The Invite 58%I Play Rocky 43%Fjord 36%All of a Sudden 36%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

18 levels open · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

La Bola Negra95%—75%1 · 0

Wild Horse Nine91%−1.0 pts86%none

Dune: Part Three87%—80%none

Project Hail Mary79%+2.0 pts72%none

The Debut76%−4.0 pts65%none

You Can See Everything71%+1.0 pts27%2 · 0

The Invite58%−0.5 pts50%1 · 2

I Play Rocky43%−2.0 pts32%0 · 1

Fjord36%−2.5 pts38%none

All of a Sudden36%−0.5 pts36%0 · 1

Obsession34%—34%none

Elsinore33%+2.5 pts32%none

The Adventures of Cliff Booth20%+1.0 pts20%0 · 1

Digger19%—17%1 · 0

Behemoth!18%+3.0 pts22%none

Michael11%−2.0 pts11%none

Avengers: Doomsday10%−0.1 pts8%none

Disclosure Day7%−0.2 pts8%0 · 2

18 options trading, by chance. +4 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

La Bola Negra95%75%−20

Wild Horse Nine91%86%−5

Dune: Part Three87%80%−7

Project Hail Mary79%72%−7

The Debut76%65%−11

You Can See Everything71%27%−44

+12 more options

AI analysts' average · Disclosure Day

1 pts above the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

You Can See Everything: AI 27% vs market 71%, 44 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Polymarket's film awards traders by 3-month profit · updated 1h ago

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

The Invite31 · 2

You Can See Everything22 · 0

Disclosure Day20 · 2

La Bola Negra11 · 0

I Play Rocky10 · 1

All of a Sudden10 · 1

The Adventures of Cliff Booth10 · 1

Digger11 · 0

10 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 18 options

Resolution criteria: The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN18 levels openCloses Jan 21, 2027Research 1h ago

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

The Invite 58%I Play Rocky 43%Fjord 36%All of a Sudden 36%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

18 levels open · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

La Bola Negra95%—75%1 · 0

Wild Horse Nine91%−1.0 pts86%none

Dune: Part Three87%—80%none

Project Hail Mary79%+2.0 pts72%none

The Debut76%−4.0 pts65%none

You Can See Everything71%+1.0 pts27%2 · 0

The Invite58%−0.5 pts50%1 · 2

I Play Rocky43%−2.0 pts32%0 · 1

Fjord36%−2.5 pts38%none

All of a Sudden36%−0.5 pts36%0 · 1

Obsession34%—34%none

Elsinore33%+2.5 pts32%none

The Adventures of Cliff Booth20%+1.0 pts20%0 · 1

Digger19%—17%1 · 0

Behemoth!18%+3.0 pts22%none

Michael11%−2.0 pts11%none

Avengers: Doomsday10%−0.1 pts8%none

Disclosure Day7%−0.2 pts8%0 · 2

18 options trading, by chance. +4 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

La Bola Negra95%75%−20

Wild Horse Nine91%86%−5

Dune: Part Three87%80%−7

Project Hail Mary79%72%−7

The Debut76%65%−11

You Can See Everything71%27%−44

+12 more options

AI analysts' average · Disclosure Day

1 pts above the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

You Can See Everything: AI 27% vs market 71%, 44 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Polymarket's film awards traders by 3-month profit · updated 1h ago

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

The Invite31 · 2

You Can See Everything22 · 0

Disclosure Day20 · 2

La Bola Negra11 · 0

I Play Rocky10 · 1

All of a Sudden10 · 1

The Adventures of Cliff Booth10 · 1

Digger11 · 0

10 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 18 options

Resolution criteria: The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

1AI analysts

2Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Related Markets

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

1AI analysts

2Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Related Markets

AI analysts

AI analysts