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MarketsPolitics

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 16 - October 23, 2026?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN4 optionsCloses Oct 24, 2026Research 1h ago

Polymarket price · top 4 of 4 options

200+ 48%180-199 33%160-179 17%140-159 3%

4 options

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
140-1593%−27.0 pts8%1 · 0
160-17917%−5.5 pts17%1 · 0
180-19933%+17.9 pts32%1 · 0
200+48%+32.5 pts47%none

4 options trading. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

1AI analysts

6 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
140-1593%8%+5
160-17917%17%0
180-19933%32%−1
200+48%47%−1

AI analysts' average · 160-179

17%

level with the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

140-159: AI 8% vs market 3%, 5 pts above

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's social media traders by 3-month profit · updated 1h ago
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
140-15911 · 0
160-17911 · 0
180-19911 · 0

1 option: no ranked trader holds it

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 4 options

Resolution criteria
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between October 16, 12:00 PM ET and October 23, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
How markets resolve
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

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160-179 · Buy YesOption 2 of 4

Polymarket price · live

Yes18¢
No85¢
Trade on Polymarket

Opens Polymarket in a new tab. Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket and never holds your money.

Before you decide · 160-179

  • News8 today · latest 3h
  • AI analysts17% · level
  • Tiers 1–21 Yes · 0 No
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.