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MarketsMovies & TV

#2 US Spotify Song 2026

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN11 optionsCloses Dec 31, 2026Research 1h ago

Polymarket price · top 4 of 11 options

Man I Need – Olivia Dean 44%Earrings – Malcom Todd 35%Choosin Texas – Ella Langley <1%Die With A Smile – Lady Gaga & Bruno Mars <1%

11 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Man I Need – Olivia Dean44%−1.5 pts52%4 · 1
Earrings – Malcom Todd35%−1.0 pts30%3 · 0
Choosin Texas – Ella Langley<1%—4%none
Die With A Smile – Lady Gaga & Bruno Mars<1%—1%none
Risk It All – Bruno Mars<1%—5%none
Drop Dead – Olivia Rodrigo<1%—3%none
Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj<1%—5%none
Dai Dai – Shakira & Burna Boy<1%—2%none
APT. – ROSÉ & Bruno Mars———none
Swim – BTS———none
Billie Jean – Michael Jackson———none

11 options trading, by chance. +2 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

1AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Man I Need – Olivia Dean44%52%+8
Earrings – Malcom Todd35%30%−5
Choosin Texas – Ella Langley<1%4%+4
Die With A Smile – Lady Gaga & Bruno Mars<1%1%+1
Risk It All – Bruno Mars<1%5%+5
Drop Dead – Olivia Rodrigo<1%3%+3
+5 more options

AI analysts' average · Drop Dead – Olivia Rodrigo

3%

3 pts above the market · 3 AI analysts

Biggest gap

Man I Need – Olivia Dean: AI 52% vs market 44%, 8 pts above

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

2News

  • 4d
    Tate McRae’s “Housewife” Debuts At # 1 On Global & US Spotify Charts; Olivia & ...
    Headline Planet
  • 5d
    Olivia Rodrigo credits Kendrick Lamar for her hit song 'Expectations'
    ARYnews.tv
  • 6d
    Olivia Rodrigo Reveals Kendrick Lamar’s “Humble” Inspired Her Song “Expectations”
    Where Is The Buzz
  • 6d
    Olivia Rodrigo and Chappell Roan Drop “Expectations” Music Video, featuring David Byrne
    Slant Magazine
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
Man I Need – Olivia Dean54 · 1
Earrings – Malcom Todd33 · 0

9 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 11 options

Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed song (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify song in the US for 2026. This market will resolve according to the name of the song listed by Spotify as the #2 song in the US of 2026. The named songs will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more songs are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If Spotify does not release who their #2 song in the US for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped. Note: This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed song (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify song in the US for 2026. This market will resolve according to the name of the song listed by Spotify as the #2 song in the US of 2026. The named songs will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more songs are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If Spotify does not release who their #2 song in the US for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped. Note: This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

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Drop Dead – Olivia Rodrigo · Buy YesOption 6 of 11

Polymarket price · live

Yes0¢
No100¢
Trade on Polymarket

Opens Polymarket in a new tab. Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket and never holds your money.

Before you decide · Drop Dead – Olivia Rodrigo

  • News0 today · latest 4d
  • AI analysts3% · 3 pts above
  • Tiers 1–2none of the top 50
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.