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MarketsPolitics

Elon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN28 optionsCloses Oct 31, 2026Research 1h ago

Polymarket price · top 4 of 28 options

240-259 14%260-279 14%220-239 12%280-299 12%

28 options

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
<20————
20-39————
40-59————
60-79————
80-99<1%—1%—
100-119<1%—2%—
120-139<1%−0.1 pts2%—
140-1591%+0.1 pts3%—
160-1793%−0.4 pts5%—
180-1993%−4.9 pts7%none
200-2199%−1.5 pts10%none
220-23912%−0.5 pts11%none
240-25914%−0.5 pts13%none
260-27914%+2.5 pts12%1 · 0
280-29912%+2.5 pts10%none
300-31910%+1.5 pts9%none
320-3397%+1.0 pts7%none
340-3595%+0.2 pts7%none
360-3794%+0.3 pts3%—
380-3992%+0.4 pts4%—
400-4192%+1.3 pts3%—
420-4392%+0.6 pts3%—
440-4591%+0.1 pts1%—
460-4791%−0.2 pts2%—
480-499<1%−0.2 pts1%—
520-539<1%−0.1 pts1%—
560-579<1%———
580+<1%—2%—

28 options trading. +2 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

1AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
<20———
20-39———
40-59———
60-79———
80-99<1%1%+1
100-119<1%2%+2
+22 more options

AI analysts' average · 100-119

2%

2 pts above the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

180-199: AI 7% vs market 3%, 4 pts above

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

2News

  • 1h
    Elon Musk Thinks $3.5 Trillion Tesla-SpaceX Mashup Is a Good Idea
    Bloomberg.com
  • 1h
    Elon Musk’s dream merger is a nightmare for SpaceX shareholders
    Fortune
  • 2h
    Tesla’s Cybercab Fleet Expands Tenfold in Just a Month, Elon Musk Says Driverless Mileage Is Growing ‘Lik
    Benzinga
  • 2h
    Elon Musk touts surging Tesla demand, reveals new Cybercab expansion plans
    Fox Business
  • 3h
    Elon Musk scales back Tesla spending plans
    The Times
  • 3h
    Elon Musk’s endorsement of SpaceX-Tesla merger sparks insider concerns- Reuters
    Investing.com
  • 3h
    Elon Musk says Tesla vehicle demand exceeding production ahead of Dallas Cybercab launch
    Fox Business
  • 4h
    Can Elon Musk Give a SpaceX Share to Every Child on Earth?
    ICTworks
  • 4h
    Tesla-SpaceX Merger Talk Has Elon Musk 'Tap-Dancing Through A Minefield'
    Patch
  • 4h
    Elon Musk's ex-girlfriend must face xAI forum countersuit
    Courthouse News
  • 6h
    Elon Musk Claims His Terafab Will Produce Its First Chip By Mid-2027
    Gizmodo
  • 7h
    James Talarico fires back at Elon Musk in Texas Senate race feud
    CNBC
  • 8h
    Tesla Net Profit Falls 43% in Q3 2026 as Elon Musk Pushes SpaceX Merger Talks: 11 outlets compared
    NewsCord
  • 9h
    Tesla’s stock falls as Elon Musk leaves investors wanting more
    MarketWatch
  • 9h
    Charles Payne: It's a lot harder to paint Elon Musk as a 'modern day Don Quixote'
    Fox Business
  • 9h
    Tesla Profit Slumps as Elon Musk’s Car Company Considers Merging With SpaceX
    The New York Times
  • 9h
    My Conversation With Alex Gibney About Elon Musk’s Growing Power
    Katie Couric | Substack
  • 9h
    DADDY’S HOME: Elon Musk Drops Half a Million in NY-17 to Bail Out Mike Lawler
    Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee
  • 10h
    Elon Musk: Starlink Mobile’s game plan too big for an earnings call
    Fierce Network
  • 10h
    Musk’s Move to Flood Texas Senate Race With Cash Plays Into Talarico’s Hand
    Bloomberg.com
  • 10h
    Elon Musk says he will retaliate against Democrats who investigate him
    Fox Business
  • 11h
    Elon Musk's merger math
    Axios
  • 11h
    SpaceX Tesla Merger: Elon Musk Just Called it a Good Idea
    Yahoo Finance
  • 11h
    Talarico presses anticorruption agenda, targeting both Paxton and Elon Musk
    Houston Public Media
  • 11h
    Elon Musk
    Arizona Daily Star
  • 12h
    Opinion | Elon Musk Blunders in the Indian Market
    WSJ
  • 12h
    A SpaceX-Tesla megamerger could benefit both companies and Elon Musk's personal fortune
    AP News
  • 13h
    AI Boom Boosts Fortunes of Several Tech Leaders as Elon Musk Leads Gains, BestBrokers.com Says
    Yahoo Finance
  • 13h
    Elon Musk plans to merge SpaceX and Tesla in a $3.6 trillion deal
    The American Bazaar
  • 13h
    Elon Musk’s Super Pac spends $500,000 to back New York Republican in midterms
    The Guardian
  • 13h
    Fixer in Hollywood Smear Machine Scandal Spoke of Other Clients: Elon Musk, Jake and Logan Paul
    The Hollywood Reporter
  • 14h
    Is Elon Musk a Double Agent?
    OB Rag
  • 14h
    Will Elon Musk Help the Ellisons Pay Down Skydance's Massive Debt? John Malone Thinks So
    Variety
  • 15h
    What Elon Musk stands to gain from a Tesla-SpaceX merger
    Financial Times
  • 15h
    SpaceX revenue surges 161% as Elon Musk addresses potential Tesla merger
    Fox Business
  • 15h
    Vivian Wilson, Model and Elon Musk’s Estranged Daughter, Signs With Echo Lake Entertainment (EXCLUSIVE)
    Variety
  • 16h
    Brian Fitzpatrick calls for investigation into Elon Musk’s reported actions in Ukraine
    Inquirer.com
  • 16h
    Seth Meyers on Elon Musk: ‘Nobody likes him’
    The Guardian
  • 17h
    Elon Musk says ASML and other critical semiconductor equipment suppliers will expedite shipments to Terafab — facility targets volume chip production by Q3-Q4, 2028, in 'highly aspirational' timeline
    Tom's Hardware
  • 17h
    Elon Musk signals Tesla and SpaceX could merge. Here's why he thinks it's a good idea.
    CBS News
  • 17h
    Elon Musk says he’s staying in Memphis ‘night and day’ guiding data center buildout
    WREG.com
  • 17h
    Elon Musk Was Briefly A Trillionaire Again After SpaceX, Tesla Surge Pushed Net Worth Up $88 Billion
    Forbes
  • 17h
    Elon Musk & Larry Ellison Will Join Forces To Boost Both Starlink And Skydance, John Malone Predicts
    Deadline
  • 18h
    Trump administration points to Elon Musk over orders for Starlink slowdown on Ukraine
    CNBC
  • 18h
    Elon Musk Says SpaceX, Tesla Exploring Merger; Satellite Company's Shares Rally
    Yahoo Finance
  • 19h
    Elon Musk says SpaceX hitting $1 trillion in revenue in 2028 is 'no longer impossible'
    Business Insider
  • 20h
    Nvidia Stock Rises in Wednesday Premarket as Elon Musk Says SpaceX Is Adding 200,000 Chips a Month — Daniel Newman Says NVDA Is 'Ripping' (UPDATED)
    Yahoo Finance
  • 20h
    Abbott, Musk emails spark a lawsuit as the governor race tightens
    USA Today
  • 20h
    Elon Musk's X to pay creators ₹2.85 lakh for 15 videos in 30 days: Check eligibility, rules and deadline to enrol
    Livemint
  • 21h
    Is Elon Musk the October Surprise?
    WSJ
  • 21h
    One week after crushing neocloud stocks like CoreWeave and Nebius with a single word, SpaceX's Elon Musk is out with another word that is less dire
    Yahoo Finance
  • 22h
    Rockets, robots and risk: Elon Musk’s $3.6tn gamble to merge Tesla and SpaceX
    Financial Times
  • 23h
    Elon Musk Is Giving Away SpaceX Stock to Kids. Is It Time to Open a Trump Account?
    Barron's
  • 23h
    Why Elon Musk Wants to Merge SpaceX and Tesla
    Time Magazine
  • 1d
    ‘Tap-dancing through a minefield’: Elon Musk’s $3.5 trillion Tesla-SpaceX merger talks expose his power—and scant accountability
    Fortune
  • 1d
    John Malone Predicts a Major Deal Between Skydance and Elon Musk’s SpaceX
    The Hollywood Reporter
  • 1d
    Elon Musk’s SpaceX posts first profit since going public
    The Washington Post
  • 1d
    Elon Musk says SpaceX and Tesla exploring largest merger in history
    Al Jazeera
  • 1d
    Tesla revenue flattens out as Elon Musk eyes possible SpaceX deal
    Axios
  • 1d
    Space X and Tesla exploring merger, CEO Elon Musk says
    Axios
  • 1d
    Elon Musk says Tesla and SpaceX are weighing a $3.5 trillion merger—without him in the room
    Fortune
  • 1d
    Tesla and SpaceX Formed Committees to Discuss Potential Merger, Elon Musk Says
    WSJ
  • 1d
    SpaceX will attempt 1st-ever double Starship rocket catch on next test launch, Elon Musk says
    Space
  • 1d
    Elon Musk ordered Starlink slowdown for Ukraine: Report
    CNBC
  • 1d
    If Elon Musk gifts SpaceX stock through Trump Accounts, it will come with a catch
    CNBC
  • 1d
    Capitol agenda: Dem gavels are coming for Elon Musk
    Politico
  • 1d
    Democrats have a message for Elon Musk: Watch out
    Politico
  • 2d
    Elon Musk says he's giving SpaceX stock to every kid in America
    Yahoo Finance
  • 2d
    Elon Musk says he'll give a SpaceX share to every child in America next year
    CNBC
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
260-27911 · 0

8 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 28 options

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 23 12:00 PM ET to October 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 23 12:00 PM ET to October 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
How markets resolve
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

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100-119 · Buy YesOption 6 of 28

Polymarket price · live

Yes0¢
No100¢
Trade on Polymarket

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Before you decide · 100-119

  • News54 today · latest 1h
  • AI analysts2% · 2 pts above
  • Tiers 1–2none of the top 50
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.