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MarketsPolitics

Elon Musk # tweets October 22 - October 24, 2026?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN5 optionsCloses Oct 25, 2026

Polymarket price · top 4 of 5 options

40-64 42%65-89 33%90-114 16%<40 5%

5 options

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
<405%−0.5 pts10%none
40-6442%+3.5 pts43%1 · 0
65-8933%−1.5 pts30%1 · 0
90-11416%−2.0 pts17%1 · 0
115-1395%−2.2 pts6%none

5 options trading. +5 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

1AI analysts

5 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
<405%10%+5
40-6442%43%+1
65-8933%30%−3
90-11416%17%+1
115-1395%6%+1

AI analysts' average · 115-139

6%

1 pts above the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

<40: AI 10% vs market 5%, 5 pts above

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
40-6411 · 0
65-8911 · 0
90-11411 · 0

2 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 5 options

Resolution criteria
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 22 12:00 PM ET to October 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
How markets resolve
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

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115-139 · Buy YesOption 5 of 5

Polymarket price · live

Yes6¢
No96¢
Trade on Polymarket

Opens Polymarket in a new tab. Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket and never holds your money.

Before you decide · 115-139

  • News48 today · latest 1h
  • AI analysts6% · 1 pts above
  • Tiers 1–2none of the top 50
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.