MarketsSports
UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to 2027 semis
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN30 levels openResearch 1d ago
Paris Saint-Germain 57%Barcelona 54%Bayern Munich 50%Real Madrid 40%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.
30 levels open · by chance
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
30 options trading, by chance. +6 more on Polymarket
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Paris Saint-Germain57%52%−5
Barcelona54%48%−6
Bayern Munich50%40%−10
Real Madrid40%38%−2
Arsenal39%43%+4
Manchester City25%27%+2
+24 more options
AI analysts' average · Feyenoord
4%
level with the market · 1 AI analyst
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 1 level, 0 price closer, on 344 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
Inter MilanNo ndb1ndb1: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 ndb1ndb1: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T20 · 1
LiverpoolYes ndb1ndb1: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 ndb1ndb1: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 · 0
RomaNo ndb1ndb1: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 ndb1ndb1: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T20 · 1
27 options: no ranked trader holds them
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
Show rulesHide rules
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Champions League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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