MarketsPerpsSmart moneyResearchPlus

 

TermsPrivacySecurity
MarketsPerpsSmart moneyResearchDeveloperStatusContact

Not affiliated with Polymarket. Information only, not investment advice.

© 2026 Problee, Inc. · Recorded on Base

 

 

 

 

MarketsSports

Golden Joystick Awards: Ultimate Game of the Year Winner

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN16 optionsCloses Dec 1, 2026

Polymarket chance · top 4 of 16 options

Resident Evil Requiem 65%Big Walk 17%007: First Light 16%Crimson Desert 1%

16 options · in level order

OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
007: First Light16%—13%0 · 1
Big Walk17%−1.9 pts21%none
Resident Evil Requiem65%−0.5 pts55%1 · 0
Crimson Desert1%−1.1 pts—none
Fire Emblem: Fortune's Weave1%−0.2 pts—none
Pragmata<1%+0.1 pts—none
Onimusha: Way of the Sword<1%−0.3 pts—none
Saros<1%−0.1 pts—none
Nioh 3<1%−0.3 pts—none
Gears of War: E-Day<1%——none
Escape from Tarkov<1%——none
Valheim<1%——none
LEGO Batman: Legacy of the Dark Knight<1%−0.8 pts—none
Star Wars Zero Company<1%——none
The Blood of Dawnwalker<1%——none
Mewgenics<1%——none

16 open levels, in level order. +2 more on Polymarket

1AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
007: First Light16%13%−3
Big Walk17%21%+4
Resident Evil Requiem65%55%−10
Crimson Desert1%——
Fire Emblem: Fortune's Weave1%——
Pragmata<1%——
+10 more options

AI analysts' average · Gears of War: E-Day

—

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

2News

  • 3h
    Gears of War: E-Day Budget Reveals Insane XBOX Exclusive Gamble
    OpenCritic
  • 5h
    Gears Of War: E-Day Gets Its Third Update On Xbox & PC, Full Patch Notes Revealed
    Pure Xbox
  • 5h
    Gears of War: E-Day Developer Interview with The Coalition
    Rocket Chainsaw
  • 6h
    Gears of War: E-Day Production Budget Reported at Over $500 Million
    TechPowerUp
  • 7h
    Gears of War: E-Day, Cancelled Last-Minute for PS5, May Have Cost Half a Billion to Make
    Push Square
  • 8h
    Gears Of War: E-Day Cost Half A Billion To Make, Apparently
    GameSpot
  • 9h
    Qualcomm Snapdragon X2 gains Advanced Shader Delivery support, Gears of War: E-Day loads 95% faster
    VideoCardz.com
  • 9h
    Gears of War: E-Day October 22 Hotfix Patch Notes
    TwistedVoxel
  • 9h
    Gears of War: E-Day Reportedly Cost Over $500 Million Before Marketing, as Xbox Layoff Fears Loom Over the Canadian Studio
    Wccftech
  • 10h
    Gears Of War: E-Day cost more to make than any PS5 exclusive claims rumour
    Metro.co.uk
  • 10h
    Gears of War: E-Day would have cost XBOX over $500 million, and that's without marketing
    Instant Gaming News
  • 11h
    Gears Of War: E-Day Reportedly Cost Over $500 Million Before Marketing
    Wolf's Gaming Blog
  • 12h
    New Rumour Says Xbox Spent $500 Million On Gears Of War: E-Day, But Not Everyone Agrees
    Pure Xbox
  • 12h
    ‘Gears Of War: E-Day’ Cost Xbox $500 Million, Report Says
    Forbes
  • 12h
    Gears of War: E-Day Budget Exceeds Half a Billion Dollars Excluding Marketing - Media
    iXBT.games
  • 13h
    The Case For Exclusivity When Gears Of War: E-Day Cost Over $500 Million To Make
    Kotaku
  • 1d
    Gears of War: E-Day Is Getting a Free Full-Campaign VR Mod, and You Start the Chainsaw by Hand
    https://vr.org/
  • 1d
    NVIDIA Brings Advanced Shader Delivery To Call of Duty: MW4 & Gears of War: E-Day In Latest Drivers While Cyberpunk 2077 Updated To Support 2nd Gen DLSS AI Models
    Wccftech
  • 1d
    ‘Gears of War: E-Day’ PC VR Mod is Coming with Support for Full Campaign
    Road to VR
  • 2d
    Game review: Gears of War: E-Day (PC)
    FutureFive Australia
  • 3d
    For Sony's consideration: 98.6% of Gears of War: E-Day sales in Spain were physical copies
    iXBT.games
  • 3d
    Gears Of War: E-Day Guide – Master List Of All Weapons, Tactical Gear, And Equipment Unlocks
    GamingBolt
  • 3d
    Your New Opinion on Gears of War: E-Day. Review of the Main Game of 2026
    iXBT.games
  • 3d
    Gears of War: E‑Day in VR is the crossover nobody expected — and now I want a full first‑person game
    Windows Central
  • 3d
    Gears of War: E-Day review | Don’t skip this one in the busy season
    GamesBeat
  • 3d
    Gears of War E-Day: Low Core Mode Cuts FPS 59% [2026]
    shattered.io
  • 4d
    Act 2 Collectibles - Gears of War: E-Day Guide
    IGN
  • 5d
    Gears of War: E-Day's top-shelf Halo crossover brings it closer to Reach than ever
    GAMINGbible
  • 5d
    Walkthrough - Gears of War: E-Day Guide
    IGN
  • 6d
    5 Best Video Games Like Gears Of War: E-Day
    SVG
  • 6d
    ‘Gears of War: E-Day’ Game Review: Prequel Sets the Stage for Epic Battles
    Cosmic Circus
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit · updated 1h ago
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
007: First Light10 · 1
Resident Evil Requiem11 · 0

14 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 16 options

Golden Joystick Awards presents its "Ultimate Game of the Year" award annually, honoring the best overall game across all platforms as voted by the public. The 2026 Golden Joystick Awards are scheduled to be presented on November 11, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Golden Joystick Award for Ultimate Game of the Year. If a game is not officially shortlisted for the 2026 Golden Joystick Award for Ultimate Game of the Year when the shortlist is announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Golden Joystick Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.gamesradar.com/golden-joystick-awards/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
Golden Joystick Awards presents its "Ultimate Game of the Year" award annually, honoring the best overall game across all platforms as voted by the public. The 2026 Golden Joystick Awards are scheduled to be presented on November 11, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Golden Joystick Award for Ultimate Game of the Year. If a game is not officially shortlisted for the 2026 Golden Joystick Award for Ultimate Game of the Year when the shortlist is announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Golden Joystick Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.gamesradar.com/golden-joystick-awards/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How markets resolve
Sign in to comment

Related Markets

Will Viktoria Plzen finish first in UEL league phase?

Will Celtic finish first in UEL league phase?

Will Omonia finish first in UEL league phase?

Will Dinamo Zagreb finish first in UEL league phase?

Gears of War: E-Day · Buy YesOption 10 of 16

Polymarket price · live

Yes1¢
No100¢

Mid: The midpoint between the best price to buy and the best price to sell. When the spread is 10¢ or less, this is the chance the page shows. 1¢ · Spread: The gap between the best price to buy and the best price to sell. A wide spread means few orders near the price. 1¢

Trade on Polymarket

Opens Polymarket in a new tab. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Kellian never holds your money.

Before you decide · Gears of War: E-Day

  • News16 today · latest 3h
  • AI analystsreviewing
  • Tiers 1–2none of the top 50
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.