MarketsBusiness
What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in October 2026?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN15 levels open1 closed
↓ $4,000 79%↓ $3,900 31%↑ $4,200 22%↓ $3,800 7%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.
15 levels open
OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
1 closed level
15 options trading. +1 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
↑ $4,900<1%1%+1
↑ $4,800<1%1%0
↑ $4,700<1%1%+1
↑ $4,600<1%2%+1
↑ $4,500<1%2%+1
↑ $4,4002%4%+2
+9 more options
AI analysts' average · ↑ $4,100
—
Biggest gap
↓ $4,000: AI 33% vs market 79%, 46 pts below
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
For information purposes only. Not investment advice.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
↓ $3,90083 · 5
↑ $4,40062 · 4
↓ $4,00063 · 3
↓ $3,80062 · 4
↑ $4,50041 · 3
↑ $4,60030 · 3
↑ $4,30031 · 2
↑ $4,70022 · 0
↑ $4,20021 · 1
↓ $3,70022 · 0
↑ $4,80011 · 0
↓ $3,60011 · 0
3 options: no ranked trader holds them
Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
Show rulesHide rules
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of October 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.
