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Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN2 optionsCloses Jan 1, 2027Research 1h ago

Polymarket price · top 2 of 2 options

Harry Kane 73%Lamine Yamal 20%

2 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Harry Kane73%—70%3 · 0
Lamine Yamal20%+0.5 pts23%3 · 0

2 options trading, by chance. +17 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

1AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Harry Kane73%70%−3
Lamine Yamal20%23%+3

AI analysts' average · Harry Kane

70%

3 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

Harry Kane: AI 70% vs market 73%, 3 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit · updated 1h ago
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
Harry Kane33 · 0
Lamine Yamal33 · 0

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 2 options

Resolution criteria
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
How markets resolve
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

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Harry Kane · Buy YesOption 1 of 2

Polymarket price · live

Yes73¢
No27¢
Trade on Polymarket

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Before you decide · Harry Kane

  • News12 today · latest 3h
  • AI analysts70% · 3 pts below
  • Tiers 1–23 Yes · 0 No
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.