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NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN36 optionsCloses Jul 1, 2027Research 8h ago

Polymarket chance · top 4 of 36 options

Connor McDavid 49%Macklin Celebrini 16%Nathan MacKinnon 8%Kirill Kaprizov 5%

36 options · by chance

OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Connor McDavid49%+7.6 pts31%1 · 0
Macklin Celebrini16%−2.5 pts18%none
Nathan MacKinnon8%−0.2 pts15%none
Kirill Kaprizov5%−0.1 pts6%none
Jack Eichel5%−4.7 pts6%none
Dylan Strome5%−4.7 pts4%none
Connor Bedard5%—4%none
Auston Matthews5%—5%none
Zach Werenski4%—3%none
Dustin Wolf3%—2%none
J.T. Miller3%—3%none
Nazem Kadri3%—2%none
Rasmus Dahlin3%−0.6 pts3%none
Roman Josi3%—2%none
Stuart Skinner3%−0.6 pts2%none
Logan Stankoven3%—2%none
Mitchell Marner3%—3%none
Jacob Markstrom3%—2%none
Quinton Byfield2%−7.4 pts1%none
Nikolaj Ehlers2%—2%none
Cale Makar2%—2%none
Logan Thompson2%—1%none
Jack Hughes2%—2%none
Evan Bouchard2%+0.1 pts1%none
Linus Ullmark2%—1%none
Evgeni Malkin2%—2%none
Alexander Ovechkin2%—2%none
Filip Gustavsson2%—2%none
Andrei Vasilevskiy2%—2%none
Jake Guentzel2%—2%none
Elias Pettersson2%—2%none
Sidney Crosby2%—2%none
Ivan Demidov2%—2%none
Jake Oettinger2%—2%none
Adam Fox1%—2%none
Aleksander Barkov1%—2%none

36 options trading, by chance. +82 more on Polymarket

1AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 8h ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Connor McDavid49%31%−18
Macklin Celebrini16%18%+2
Nathan MacKinnon8%15%+7
Kirill Kaprizov5%6%+1
Jack Eichel5%6%+1
Dylan Strome5%4%−1
+30 more options

AI analysts' average · Kirill Kaprizov

6%

1 pts above the market · 1 AI analyst

Track record

Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 1 level, 0 price closer, on 220 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

2News

No headlines about this market in the last 7 days.

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
Connor McDavid11 · 0

35 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 36 options

This market will resolve to the player who wins the Hart Memorial Trophy for the 2026-27 NHL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NHL season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Hart Memorial Trophy for the 2026-27 NHL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NHL season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How markets resolve
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Kirill Kaprizov · Buy YesOption 4 of 36

Polymarket price · live

Yes7¢
No97¢

Mid: The midpoint between the best price to buy and the best price to sell. When the spread is 10¢ or less, this is the chance the page shows. 5¢ · Spread: The gap between the best price to buy and the best price to sell. A wide spread means few orders near the price. 4¢

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Before you decide · Kirill Kaprizov

  • News0 today
  • AI analysts6% · 1 pts above
  • Tiers 1–2none of the top 50
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.