How do I trade on "Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

Ballon d'Or 2026: 2nd Place

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN3 optionsCloses Jan 1, 2027Research 5h ago

Polymarket price · top 3 of 3 options

Kylian Mbappé 71%Harry Kane 16%Lamine Yamal 12%

3 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Kylian Mbappé71%+6.5 pts52%none

Harry Kane16%+3.5 pts22%none

Lamine Yamal12%−7.0 pts13%1 · 0

3 options trading, by chance. +27 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 5h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Kylian Mbappé71%52%−19

Harry Kane16%22%+6

Lamine Yamal12%13%+1

AI analysts' average · Lamine Yamal

13%

1 pts above the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

Kylian Mbappé: AI 52% vs market 71%, 19 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit · updated 44m ago

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

Lamine Yamal11 · 0

2 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 3 options

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve according to the player who finishes in 2nd place in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If two or more players are tied for 2nd place in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official ranking. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name. If no 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking is published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Ballon d'Or 2026: 2nd Place

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN3 optionsCloses Jan 1, 2027Research 5h ago

Polymarket price · top 3 of 3 options

Kylian Mbappé 71%Harry Kane 16%Lamine Yamal 12%

3 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Kylian Mbappé71%+6.5 pts52%none

Harry Kane16%+3.5 pts22%none

Lamine Yamal12%−7.0 pts13%1 · 0

3 options trading, by chance. +27 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 5h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Kylian Mbappé71%52%−19

Harry Kane16%22%+6

Lamine Yamal12%13%+1

AI analysts' average · Lamine Yamal

13%

1 pts above the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

Kylian Mbappé: AI 52% vs market 71%, 19 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit · updated 44m ago

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

Lamine Yamal11 · 0

2 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 3 options

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve according to the player who finishes in 2nd place in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If two or more players are tied for 2nd place in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official ranking. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name. If no 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking is published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Ballon d'Or 2026: 2nd Place

1AI analysts

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

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Ballon d'Or 2026: 2nd Place

1AI analysts

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Related Markets

AI analysts

AI analysts