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NCAA Football: Team to Make National Championship

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN37 levels openCloses Feb 9, 2027

Polymarket chance · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Alabama 13%BYU 13%Ole Miss 12%Utah 8%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

37 levels open · by chance

OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Alabama13%−1.5 pts10%none
BYU13%−4.0 pts14%none
Ole Miss12%—11%none
Utah8%—8%none
Florida8%—4%none
USC7%—6%none
Iowa7%—4%none
Michigan6%—4%none
SMU6%—5%none
Clemson6%—5%none
Kentucky6%—4%none
James Madison6%−0.2 pts2%none
Kansas St.5%—2%none
Houston5%—3%none
Auburn5%−0.5 pts4%none
Pittsburgh5%—3%none
Missouri5%+0.5 pts6%none
Washington5%—5%none
Oklahoma St.5%−0.2 pts4%none
Arkansas5%—5%none
North Carolina St.4%—5%none
Virginia4%—4%none
Virginia Tech4%+0.3 pts4%none
TCU4%−0.2 pts4%none
Vanderbilt4%−0.1 pts4%none
South Carolina4%−0.1 pts4%none
Penn St.4%—4%none
Georgia Tech4%+0.2 pts4%none
Louisville3%—4%none
California3%—3%none
Illinois3%—3%none
Florida St.3%—3%none
Tulane3%—3%none
Miami (OH)2%—2%none
Arizona2%—2%none
Tennessee2%+0.4 pts—none
Arizona St.2%——none

37 options trading, by chance. +13 more on Polymarket

1AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Alabama13%10%−3
BYU13%14%+1
Ole Miss12%11%−1
Utah8%8%0
Florida8%4%−4
USC7%6%−1
+31 more options

AI analysts' average · Louisville

4%

1 pts above the market · 1 AI analyst

Track record

Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 1 level, 0 price closer, on 294 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

2News

  • 4h
    Ryan Day has a chance to make Ohio State football history
    Scarlet and Game
  • 16h
    Midseason College Football Playoff, Heisman and bold predictions: How much has changed?
    The New York Times
  • 1d
    How Many FCS Football Teams Are There In 2026?
    FloFootball
  • 1d
    College Football Playoff Tiers: Ranking the National Championship Contenders
    Sports Illustrated
  • 2d
    College football predictions: Second-chance expert picks for 2026 national champion, playoff field, more
    CBS Sports
  • 2d
    ESPN Ranks Top 25 College Football Teams With Best Chance to Win the Natty Going Into Week 8
    SportsGrid
  • 2d
    Guarantee: Ohio State will win 2027-28 College Football Playoff National Championship
    Yahoo Sports
  • 5d
    Tracking undefeated FBS college football teams in the 2026 season
    NCAA.com
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit · updated 1h ago
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No

37 options: no ranked trader holds them

Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 37 options

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team plays in the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". The "2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game" refers to the title game concluding the College Football Playoff for the 2026 college football season, scheduled to be played in January 2027. A team counts as making the game if it is one of the two teams that competes in it. If the College Football Playoff National Championship Game is canceled or not played by February 8, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the College Football Playoff (https://collegefootballplayoff.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team plays in the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". The "2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game" refers to the title game concluding the College Football Playoff for the 2026 college football season, scheduled to be played in January 2027. A team counts as making the game if it is one of the two teams that competes in it. If the College Football Playoff National Championship Game is canceled or not played by February 8, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the College Football Playoff (https://collegefootballplayoff.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How markets resolve
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Louisville · Buy YesOption 29 of 37

Polymarket price · live

Yes5¢
No98¢

Mid: The midpoint between the best price to buy and the best price to sell. When the spread is 10¢ or less, this is the chance the page shows. 3¢ · Spread: The gap between the best price to buy and the best price to sell. A wide spread means few orders near the price. 3¢

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Before you decide · Louisville

  • News2 today · latest 4h
  • AI analysts4% · 1 pts above
  • Tiers 1–2none of the top 50
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.