MarketsPolitics
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place Abroad
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN2 optionsResearch 3h ago
Lula 70%Flavio Bolsonaro 30%
2 options · by chance
OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
2 options trading, by chance. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Lula70%66%−4
Flavio Bolsonaro30%35%+5
AI analysts' average · Lula
66%
4 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst
Biggest gap
Flavio Bolsonaro: AI 35% vs market 30%, 5 pts above
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
For information purposes only. Not investment advice.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
Lula43 · 1
Flavio Bolsonaro32 · 1
Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
- Resolution criteria
- The second round of the presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the second round of this election from voters abroad, meaning votes cast outside Brazil and reported by the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) under “Exterior”. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won abroad. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.