MarketsBusiness
What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit Week of October 19 2026?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Resolved10 levels open1 closedResearch 19h ago
↓ $517.50 61%↑ $532.50 23%↓ $502.50 7%↑ $540 6%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.
10 levels open
OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
1 closed level
10 options trading. +3 more on Polymarket
The calls
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
↑ $577.50<1%1%+1
↑ $570<1%1%0
↑ $5551%4%+3
↑ $547.502%5%+3
↑ $5406%32%+26
↑ $532.5023%33%+10
+4 more options
AI analysts' average · ↓ $525
64%
35 pts below the market · 3 AI analysts
Biggest gap
↓ $517.50: AI 34% vs market 61%, 27 pts below
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Rules
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- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of October 19 2026, any 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
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