MarketsBusiness
What will Natural Gas (NG) hit Week of October 19 2026?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN11 levels openResearch 3h ago
↓ $2.80 82%↑ $2.90 61%↓ $2.70 41%↑ $3.00 20%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.
11 levels open
OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
11 options trading. +2 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
↑ $3.602%5%+3
↑ $3.504%——
↑ $3.305%2%−3
↑ $3.204%5%+1
↑ $3.108%10%+2
↑ $3.0020%——
+5 more options
AI analysts' average · ↑ $3.10
10%
2 pts above the market · 1 AI analyst
Biggest gap
↓ $2.80: AI 25% vs market 82%, 57 pts below
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
For information purposes only. Not investment advice.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
↑ $3.6010 · 1
↑ $3.3010 · 1
↑ $3.1010 · 1
8 options: no ranked trader holds them
Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of October 19 2026, any Pyth 1-minute candle for the Active Month of ICE Futures U.S. Henry LD1 Fixed Price Future (denoted by Pyth as "HN") has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered (See: "Trading Hours" at https://www.ice.com/products/6590258/Henry-LD1-Fixed-Price-Future). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 7:50 PM ET on the prior calendar date, except for the session dated Monday, which begins at 5:50 PM ET on the preceding Sunday, and where modified by holiday or other special hours (See: https://www.ice.com/holiday-hours). The Active Month is the nearest listed contract, except during that contract's final three trading sessions. At the open of the third-to-last trading session, the next listed contract becomes the Active Month. Each contract's last trading day will be determined by ICE Futures U.S. per the Henry LD1 Fixed Price future contract specification (generally the third last business day of the month preceding the contract month). The last trading day for each contract is posted at https://www.ice.com/products/6590258/Henry-LD1-Fixed-Price-Future/expiry. For example, if the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is a Tuesday, the next listed contract becomes the Active Month at the start of the trading session for the Friday of the previous week (7:50 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month Henry LD1 Fixed Price Future may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session (See: https://www.ice.com/report/142 with "H-Henry LD1 Fixed Price Future" selected). In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the ICE Futures U.S. Henry LD1 Fixed Price Future Active Month "High" and "Low" prices available at https://app.pyth.com/explore?search=Commodities.HN, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.
