How do I trade on "Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN12 levels openCloses Jan 2, 2027

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Tunisia 6%Pakistan 4%Saudi Arabia 4%Syria 4%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

12 levels open · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Tunisia6%—2%none

Pakistan4%—2%none

Saudi Arabia4%−0.3 pts5%none

Syria4%−0.1 pts6%0 · 2

Kuwait3%—2%none

Cuba3%—1%none

North Korea3%—1%none

Iran3%+0.1 pts1%none

Qatar3%—1%none

Malaysia3%—1%none

Afghanistan2%−0.6 pts1%none

Bangladesh1%—1%none

12 options trading, by chance. +4 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Tunisia6%2%−4

Pakistan4%2%−2

Saudi Arabia4%5%+1

Syria4%6%+2

Kuwait3%2%−1

Cuba3%1%−2

+6 more options

AI analysts' average · North Korea

2 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

Tunisia: AI 2% vs market 6%, 4 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

News

10h
North Korea signals possible resumption of anti-South loudspeaker campaign
Hankyoreh : English Edition
15h
South Korea seeks border talks as North Korea threatens to deploy loudspeakers
TRT World
16h
CRS: North Korea expanding nuclear arsenal, missile capabilities
ExchangeMonitor
17h
South Korea urges North Korea to hold talks to prevent an accidental clash
TradingView
1d
North Korea tells border troops to take ‘resolute action’ if South threatens their safety
CNN
2d
North Korea Wants Security Talks With the US, Not Nuclear Talks
The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific Current Affairs Magazine

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit · updated 1h ago

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

Syria20 · 2

11 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 12 options

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN12 levels openCloses Jan 2, 2027

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Tunisia 6%Pakistan 4%Saudi Arabia 4%Syria 4%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

12 levels open · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Tunisia6%—2%none

Pakistan4%—2%none

Saudi Arabia4%−0.3 pts5%none

Syria4%−0.1 pts6%0 · 2

Kuwait3%—2%none

Cuba3%—1%none

North Korea3%—1%none

Iran3%+0.1 pts1%none

Qatar3%—1%none

Malaysia3%—1%none

Afghanistan2%−0.6 pts1%none

Bangladesh1%—1%none

12 options trading, by chance. +4 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Tunisia6%2%−4

Pakistan4%2%−2

Saudi Arabia4%5%+1

Syria4%6%+2

Kuwait3%2%−1

Cuba3%1%−2

+6 more options

AI analysts' average · North Korea

2 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

Tunisia: AI 2% vs market 6%, 4 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

News

10h
North Korea signals possible resumption of anti-South loudspeaker campaign
Hankyoreh : English Edition
15h
South Korea seeks border talks as North Korea threatens to deploy loudspeakers
TRT World
16h
CRS: North Korea expanding nuclear arsenal, missile capabilities
ExchangeMonitor
17h
South Korea urges North Korea to hold talks to prevent an accidental clash
TradingView
1d
North Korea tells border troops to take ‘resolute action’ if South threatens their safety
CNN
2d
North Korea Wants Security Talks With the US, Not Nuclear Talks
The Diplomat – Asia-Pacific Current Affairs Magazine

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit · updated 1h ago

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

Syria20 · 2

11 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 12 options

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

1AI analysts

2News

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 12 options

Related Markets

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

1AI analysts

2News

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 12 options

Related Markets

AI analysts

News

AI analysts

News