How do I trade on "Will Ofir Katz be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

Next Israeli Minister of Justice?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN12 optionsCloses Mar 2, 2027Research 5h ago

Polymarket price · top 4 of 12 options

No Next Minister by Feb 28 39%Tally Gotliv 8%Gideon Sa’ar 6%Gilad Kariv 6%

12 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

No Next Minister by Feb 2839%−2.0 pts37%none

Tally Gotliv8%+3.5 pts7%none

Gideon Sa’ar6%—5%none

Gilad Kariv6%−0.6 pts5%none

Yariv Levin4%+0.2 pts8%none

Oded Forer4%—3%none

Amir Ohana4%+0.3 pts7%none

Ofir Katz4%−0.2 pts3%none

Hili Tropper4%−5.0 pts10%none

Ayelet Shaked<1%—1%none

Efrat Rayten<1%—1%none

Simcha Rothman<1%+0.2 pts1%none

12 options trading, by chance. +1 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 5h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

No Next Minister by Feb 2839%37%−2

Tally Gotliv8%7%−1

Gideon Sa’ar6%5%−1

Gilad Kariv6%5%−1

Yariv Levin4%8%+4

Oded Forer4%3%−1

+6 more options

AI analysts' average · Ofir Katz

1 pts below the market · 2 AI analysts

Biggest gap

Hili Tropper: AI 10% vs market 4%, 6 pts above

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

News

No headlines about this market in the last 7 days.

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit · updated 4h ago

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

12 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 12 options

This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Israeli Minister of Justice in the first government formed following the 2026 Knesset elections. To count for resolution, the individual’s ministership must be approved by the Knesset in a vote of confidence in that government or a subsequent vote approving the individual’s appointment to that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of Justice will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution. The individual must be appointed as “Minister of Justice” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor. If the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Minister of Justice are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order. If no such Minister of Justice assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Minister by Feb 28”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Israeli Minister of Justice in the first government formed following the 2026 Knesset elections. To count for resolution, the individual’s ministership must be approved by the Knesset in a vote of confidence in that government or a subsequent vote approving the individual’s appointment to that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of Justice will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution. The individual must be appointed as “Minister of Justice” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor. If the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Minister of Justice are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order. If no such Minister of Justice assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Minister by Feb 28”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Next Israeli Minister of Justice?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN12 optionsCloses Mar 2, 2027Research 5h ago

Polymarket price · top 4 of 12 options

No Next Minister by Feb 28 39%Tally Gotliv 8%Gideon Sa’ar 6%Gilad Kariv 6%

12 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

No Next Minister by Feb 2839%−2.0 pts37%none

Tally Gotliv8%+3.5 pts7%none

Gideon Sa’ar6%—5%none

Gilad Kariv6%−0.6 pts5%none

Yariv Levin4%+0.2 pts8%none

Oded Forer4%—3%none

Amir Ohana4%+0.3 pts7%none

Ofir Katz4%−0.2 pts3%none

Hili Tropper4%−5.0 pts10%none

Ayelet Shaked<1%—1%none

Efrat Rayten<1%—1%none

Simcha Rothman<1%+0.2 pts1%none

12 options trading, by chance. +1 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 5h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

No Next Minister by Feb 2839%37%−2

Tally Gotliv8%7%−1

Gideon Sa’ar6%5%−1

Gilad Kariv6%5%−1

Yariv Levin4%8%+4

Oded Forer4%3%−1

+6 more options

AI analysts' average · Ofir Katz

1 pts below the market · 2 AI analysts

Biggest gap

Hili Tropper: AI 10% vs market 4%, 6 pts above

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

News

No headlines about this market in the last 7 days.

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit · updated 4h ago

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

12 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 12 options

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Israeli Minister of Justice in the first government formed following the 2026 Knesset elections. To count for resolution, the individual’s ministership must be approved by the Knesset in a vote of confidence in that government or a subsequent vote approving the individual’s appointment to that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of Justice will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution. The individual must be appointed as “Minister of Justice” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor. If the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Minister of Justice are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order. If no such Minister of Justice assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Minister by Feb 28”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Next Israeli Minister of Justice?

1AI analysts

2News

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 12 options

Related Markets

Next Israeli Minister of Justice?

1AI analysts

2News

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 12 options

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AI analysts

News

AI analysts

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