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Next Israeli Minister of Finance?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN13 optionsCloses Mar 2, 2027Research 1h ago

Polymarket price · top 4 of 13 options

No Next Minister by Feb 28 36%Naftali Bennett 15%Avigdor Lieberman 13%Yaron Zelekha 10%

13 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
No Next Minister by Feb 2836%−5.0 pts36%none
Naftali Bennett15%+3.5 pts7%none
Avigdor Lieberman13%−0.2 pts13%none
Yaron Zelekha10%+1.3 pts3%none
Bezalel Smotrich6%+0.5 pts5%none
Israel Katz4%—5%none
Eli Cohen3%−0.1 pts3%none
Yair Lapid3%−0.5 pts3%none
Moshe Feiglin3%—1%none
Nir Barkat1%+0.3 pts6%none
Orit Farkash-Hacohen<1%—1%none
Benjamin Netanyahu<1%—1%none
Gadi Eizenkot<1%—1%none

13 options trading, by chance. +3 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

1AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
No Next Minister by Feb 2836%36%0
Naftali Bennett15%7%−8
Avigdor Lieberman13%13%0
Yaron Zelekha10%3%−7
Bezalel Smotrich6%5%−1
Israel Katz4%5%+1
+7 more options

AI analysts' average · Orit Farkash-Hacohen

1%

level with the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

Naftali Bennett: AI 7% vs market 15%, 8 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

2News

No headlines about this market in the last 7 days.

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

13 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 13 options

This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Israeli Minister of Finance in the first government formed following the 2026 Knesset elections. To count for resolution, the individual’s ministership must be approved by the Knesset in a vote of confidence in that government or a subsequent vote approving the individual’s appointment to that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of Finance will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution. The individual must be appointed as “Minister of Finance” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor. If the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Minister of Finance are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order. If no such Minister of Finance assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Minister by Feb 28”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Israeli Minister of Finance in the first government formed following the 2026 Knesset elections. To count for resolution, the individual’s ministership must be approved by the Knesset in a vote of confidence in that government or a subsequent vote approving the individual’s appointment to that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of Finance will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution. The individual must be appointed as “Minister of Finance” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor. If the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Minister of Finance are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order. If no such Minister of Finance assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Minister by Feb 28”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
How markets resolve
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

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Orit Farkash-Hacohen · Buy YesOption 11 of 13

Polymarket price · live

Yes1¢
No100¢
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Before you decide · Orit Farkash-Hacohen

  • News0 today
  • AI analysts1% · level
  • Tiers 1–2none of the top 50
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.