MarketsSports
Ballon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN5 levels openResearch 1h ago
Lamine Yamal 91%Kylian Mbappé 85%Lionel Messi 13%Rodri 10%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.
5 levels open · by chance
OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
5 options trading, by chance. +14 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Lamine Yamal91%94%+3
Kylian Mbappé85%80%−5
Lionel Messi13%17%+4
Rodri10%12%+2
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia6%6%0
AI analysts' average · Rodri
12%
2 pts above the market · 1 AI analyst
Biggest gap
Kylian Mbappé: AI 80% vs market 85%, 5 pts below
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
For information purposes only. Not investment advice.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
5 options: no ranked trader holds them
Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rodri officially finishes in the top 3 (positions 1 through 3) of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or final ranking. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d'Or announcement (https://www.ballondor.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.
