How do I trade on "Will RZP-Zehut be in the next Israeli government?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN11 levels openCloses Jul 1, 2027Research 2h ago

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Yashar 62%Yisrael Beiteinu 55%Together 54%New Economic Party / The Reservists 44%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

11 levels open · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Yashar62%+2.0 pts60%none

Yisrael Beiteinu55%+1.0 pts51%none

Together54%+7.0 pts55%none

New Economic Party / The Reservists44%+4.0 pts32%none

Otzma Yehudit32%+5.0 pts30%none

Likud31%−2.5 pts35%0 · 1

RZP-Zehut30%−7.5 pts25%none

United Torah Judaism29%+4.5 pts22%none

Amcha Yisrael29%−0.5 pts20%none

Shas25%−5.5 pts27%none

Ra'am23%+1.0 pts13%1 · 0

11 options trading, by chance. +4 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 2h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Yashar62%60%−2

Yisrael Beiteinu55%51%−4

Together54%55%+1

New Economic Party / The Reservists44%32%−12

Otzma Yehudit32%30%−2

Likud31%35%+4

+5 more options

AI analysts' average · RZP-Zehut

25%

5 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

New Economic Party / The Reservists: AI 32% vs market 44%, 12 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit · updated 2h ago

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

Likud10 · 1

Ra'am11 · 0

9 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 11 options

Parliamentary elections to elect the 26th Knesset are scheduled to take place on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party or electoral list is included in the first Israeli government formed after the 2026 Knesset election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market may resolve once the composition of the first Israeli government following the 2026 Knesset election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office. The government is considered formed when the newly elected Knesset approves the government in a vote of confidence. A party is considered part of the government if it provides at least one Minister, including the Prime Minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Israel and the Knesset.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: Parliamentary elections to elect the 26th Knesset are scheduled to take place on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party or electoral list is included in the first Israeli government formed after the 2026 Knesset election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market may resolve once the composition of the first Israeli government following the 2026 Knesset election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office. The government is considered formed when the newly elected Knesset approves the government in a vote of confidence. A party is considered part of the government if it provides at least one Minister, including the Prime Minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Israel and the Knesset.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN11 levels openCloses Jul 1, 2027Research 2h ago

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Yashar 62%Yisrael Beiteinu 55%Together 54%New Economic Party / The Reservists 44%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

11 levels open · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Yashar62%+2.0 pts60%none

Yisrael Beiteinu55%+1.0 pts51%none

Together54%+7.0 pts55%none

New Economic Party / The Reservists44%+4.0 pts32%none

Otzma Yehudit32%+5.0 pts30%none

Likud31%−2.5 pts35%0 · 1

RZP-Zehut30%−7.5 pts25%none

United Torah Judaism29%+4.5 pts22%none

Amcha Yisrael29%−0.5 pts20%none

Shas25%−5.5 pts27%none

Ra'am23%+1.0 pts13%1 · 0

11 options trading, by chance. +4 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 2h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Yashar62%60%−2

Yisrael Beiteinu55%51%−4

Together54%55%+1

New Economic Party / The Reservists44%32%−12

Otzma Yehudit32%30%−2

Likud31%35%+4

+5 more options

AI analysts' average · RZP-Zehut

25%

5 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

New Economic Party / The Reservists: AI 32% vs market 44%, 12 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit · updated 2h ago

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

Likud10 · 1

Ra'am11 · 0

9 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 11 options

Resolution criteria: Parliamentary elections to elect the 26th Knesset are scheduled to take place on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party or electoral list is included in the first Israeli government formed after the 2026 Knesset election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market may resolve once the composition of the first Israeli government following the 2026 Knesset election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office. The government is considered formed when the newly elected Knesset approves the government in a vote of confidence. A party is considered part of the government if it provides at least one Minister, including the Prime Minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Israel and the Knesset.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

1AI analysts

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 11 options

Related Markets

Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

1AI analysts

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 11 options

Related Markets

AI analysts

AI analysts