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MarketsPolitics

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN10 optionsCloses Oct 26, 2026

Polymarket price · top 2 of 10 options

Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia 68%Student List – Students Win 33%

10 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia68%−1.0 pts57%8 · 1
Student List – Students Win33%+1.0 pts43%1 · 5
Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability!———none
Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP)———none
Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor———none
Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification———none
Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić———none
Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović———none
European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš———none
SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak———none

10 options trading, by chance. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

1AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia68%57%−11
Student List – Students Win33%43%+10
Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability!———
Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP)———
Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor———
Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification———
+4 more options

AI analysts' average · SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak

—

Biggest gap

Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia: AI 57% vs market 68%, 11 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

2Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia98 · 1
Student List – Students Win61 · 5

8 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 10 options

Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve to the electoral list that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Serbia as a result of this election. Electoral lists will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more lists are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If lists remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the list that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named electoral list, as it appears on the ballot and official proclamations, regardless of which parties make up the list or how its members later organize themselves in the National Assembly. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia (https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/).Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve to the electoral list that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Serbia as a result of this election. Electoral lists will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more lists are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If lists remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the list that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named electoral list, as it appears on the ballot and official proclamations, regardless of which parties make up the list or how its members later organize themselves in the National Assembly. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia (https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/).Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
How markets resolve
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

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SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak · Buy YesOption 10 of 10

Polymarket price · live

Yes0¢
No—
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Before you decide · SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak

  • AI analystsreviewing
  • Tiers 1–2none of the top 50
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.