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Oscars 2027: Best Animated Feature Film Nominations

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN3 levels openCloses Mar 15, 2027

Polymarket chance · the 3 levels nearest 50%

Iron Boy 65%Tangles 60%Forgotten Island 54%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

3 levels open · by chance

OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Iron Boy65%−8.0 pts55%none
Tangles60%+9.5 pts55%1 · 0
Forgotten Island54%−5.5 pts55%2 · 0

3 options trading, by chance. +6 more on Polymarket

1AI analysts

1 AI analyst · each gives every option a chance
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Iron Boy65%55%−10
Tangles60%55%−5
Forgotten Island54%55%+1

AI analysts' average · Tangles

55%

5 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst

Track record

Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 1 level, 0 price closer, on 285 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

2News

  • 5d
    ‘Tangles’ Trailer: Seth Rogen-Produced Film Shows the Impact of Alzheimer’s Through Animation (EXCLUSIVE)
    Variety
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's film awards traders by 3-month profit · updated 1h ago
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
Forgotten IslandYes GaditimaGaditima: Tier 1, #8 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 2 GaditimaGaditima: Tier 1, #8 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1·title1title1: Tier 1, #10 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 02 · 0
TanglesYes GaditimaGaditima: Tier 1, #8 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 GaditimaGaditima: Tier 1, #8 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T101 · 0

1 option: no ranked trader holds it

Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 3 options

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Animated Feature Film. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Animated Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Animated Feature Film. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Animated Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How markets resolve
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Tangles · Buy YesOption 2 of 3

Polymarket price · live

Yes63¢
No44¢

Mid: The midpoint between the best price to buy and the best price to sell. When the spread is 10¢ or less, this is the chance the page shows. 60¢ · Spread: The gap between the best price to buy and the best price to sell. A wide spread means few orders near the price. 7¢

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Before you decide · Tangles

  • News0 today · latest 5d
  • AI analysts55% · 5 pts below
  • Tiers 1–21 Yes · 0 No
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.