How do I trade on "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 20?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

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Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 20?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPENCloses Oct 21, 2026Research 41m ago

12% chance

+9.7 pts 24hAI analysts 12% (3)Top traders 0 Yes · 1 No

News

5d
Midweek Warm-up: Vincent Kompany needs to weather the rotational storm to achieve great things at Bayern Munich this season
Bavarian Football Works
5d
Weather Forecast and Conditions for Industriebezirk, 80997, Munich, Bavaria, Germany
The Weather Channel

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

AI analysts

Full research · updated 41m ago

What decides it

Resolves Yes if the highest 'Temp' reading on NOAA's Munich Airport (EDDM) timeseries for 20 Oct 2026 is 10°C, in whole °C. Otherwise it resolves to the bracket that contains the actual high. Weather Underground is the fallback if NOAA data is missing by 11:59 PM ET on 21 Oct. If both are missing, it resolves to the lowest bracket.

Latest

I found no forecast for Munich on 20 Oct 2026. I did not read the NOAA timeseries page.
www.extremeweatherwatch.comtoday
Climatology for 20 Oct in Munich is an average high near 13°C and an average low near 5°C. The warmest 20 Oct in 55 years of records was 2014 and the coldest was 1972 (extremeweatherwatch and similar climate pages, via search summary).
www.extremeweatherwatch.comtoday

What to watch next The 20 Oct 2026 daily high on the NOAA EDDM timeseries. Trading ends 2026-10-20 12:00Z.

Sources

www.extremeweatherwatch.com

Research, not advice.

AI analysts' average

12%

level with the market · 3 AI analysts

Top traders

Polymarket's top 50 weather traders by 3-month profit, then the next profitable ones · updated 46m ago

Top traders1 of the top 50 weather traders holds this0 Yes · 1 NoProfitable traders1 profitable weather trader holds this0 Yes · 1 No

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