How do I trade on "Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be at least $327,000 on December 31?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

What will the median home value in Chicago Metro be on December 31?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN5 optionsCloses Jan 11, 2027Research 1h ago

Polymarket price · top 4 of 5 options

$318K - $323K 36%$323K - $327K 26%$327K+ 18%$313K - $318K 16%

5 options · in level order

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

$303K - $308K5%−4.9 pts5%—

$313K - $318K16%−1.0 pts16%—

$318K - $323K36%+10.5 pts31%—

$323K - $327K26%—26%—

$327K+18%−1.0 pts18%—

5 open levels, in level order. +2 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

$303K - $308K5%5%0

$313K - $318K16%16%0

$318K - $323K36%31%−5

$323K - $327K26%26%0

$327K+18%18%0

AI analysts' average · $327K+

18%

level with the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

$318K - $323K: AI 31% vs market 36%, 5 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 5 options

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago Metro, IL on December 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on December 31, 2026. If no data for December 31 is released by January 10, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/62)Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago Metro, IL on December 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on December 31, 2026. If no data for December 31 is released by January 10, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/62)Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

What will the median home value in Chicago Metro be on December 31?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN5 optionsCloses Jan 11, 2027Research 1h ago

Polymarket price · top 4 of 5 options

$318K - $323K 36%$323K - $327K 26%$327K+ 18%$313K - $318K 16%

5 options · in level order

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

$303K - $308K5%−4.9 pts5%—

$313K - $318K16%−1.0 pts16%—

$318K - $323K36%+10.5 pts31%—

$323K - $327K26%—26%—

$327K+18%−1.0 pts18%—

5 open levels, in level order. +2 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

$303K - $308K5%5%0

$313K - $318K16%16%0

$318K - $323K36%31%−5

$323K - $327K26%26%0

$327K+18%18%0

AI analysts' average · $327K+

18%

level with the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

$318K - $323K: AI 31% vs market 36%, 5 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 5 options

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago Metro, IL on December 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on December 31, 2026. If no data for December 31 is released by January 10, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/62)Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

What will the median home value in Chicago Metro be on December 31?

1AI analysts

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 5 options

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What will the median home value in Chicago Metro be on December 31?

1AI analysts

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 5 options

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