How do I trade on "Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be less than 55,000?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

Nikkei 225: Close Price End of 2026

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN5 optionsCloses Dec 31, 2026Research 1h ago

Polymarket price · top 3 of 5 options

75,000-80,000 14%70,000-75,000 13%<55,000 12%

5 options

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

<55,00012%−4.6 pts73%none

70,000-75,00013%−1.5 pts21%none

75,000-80,00014%−27.3 pts7%none

80,000-85,000———none

85,000+———none

5 options trading. +3 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

<55,00012%73%+61

70,000-75,00013%21%+8

75,000-80,00014%7%−7

80,000-85,000———

85,000+———

AI analysts' average · <55,000

73%

61 pts above the market · 2 AI analysts

Biggest gap

<55,000: AI 73% vs market 12%, 61 pts above

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

5 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 5 options

This market will resolve according to the official closing price for the Nikkei 225 (NI225) on the final trading day of December 2026, reported in JPY. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nikkei 225 (^N225) "Close" prices available at (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EN225/history/), published under "Historical Data.”Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve according to the official closing price for the Nikkei 225 (NI225) on the final trading day of December 2026, reported in JPY. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nikkei 225 (^N225) "Close" prices available at (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EN225/history/), published under "Historical Data.”Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Nikkei 225: Close Price End of 2026

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN5 optionsCloses Dec 31, 2026Research 1h ago

Polymarket price · top 3 of 5 options

75,000-80,000 14%70,000-75,000 13%<55,000 12%

5 options

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

<55,00012%−4.6 pts73%none

70,000-75,00013%−1.5 pts21%none

75,000-80,00014%−27.3 pts7%none

80,000-85,000———none

85,000+———none

5 options trading. +3 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

<55,00012%73%+61

70,000-75,00013%21%+8

75,000-80,00014%7%−7

80,000-85,000———

85,000+———

AI analysts' average · <55,000

73%

61 pts above the market · 2 AI analysts

Biggest gap

<55,000: AI 73% vs market 12%, 61 pts above

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

5 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 5 options

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve according to the official closing price for the Nikkei 225 (NI225) on the final trading day of December 2026, reported in JPY. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nikkei 225 (^N225) "Close" prices available at (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EN225/history/), published under "Historical Data.”Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Nikkei 225: Close Price End of 2026

1AI analysts

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 5 options

Related Markets

Nikkei 225: Close Price End of 2026

1AI analysts

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 5 options

Related Markets

AI analysts

AI analysts