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Resolves Yes if the Ornn H200 Index chart at dashboard.ornnai.com shows a finalized daily value at or below $2.50 on any day from market creation through 2026-12-31. A day's value is finalized once the next day's point is published. If not all data is finalized, it resolves on the data available by the end of the 14th calendar day afterward (ET). Otherwise it resolves No.
The Ornn index's current level and its 2026 low are unknown to me. The sources I read disagree on the general price level, from about $3.10 to more than $4.40 per hour, and they use different indices.
www.silicondata.comdashboard.ornnai.com returned only a page shell with no chart data when I fetched it, so I could not read the current Ornn H200 Index value from the resolution source (Ornn dashboard).
www.silicondata.comA web search summary of the the source market event page 'GPU rental prices (H200) hit in 2026' showed a '$2.50 low' outcome at about 10% with about $146 volume. That is a search snippet and I did not confirm it on the page.
www.silicondata.comThe the source market event page (fetched summary) says 'H200 rental prices have climbed steadily through 2026, with on-demand medians now ranging from roughly $4.40–$5.70 per GPU-hour across providers.' This is a market description, not the Ornn index itself. The same summary lists high-side …
www.silicondata.comSilicon Data's H200 rental index (a different index, not the resolution source) was quoted at about $3.10 per GPU-hour in a search summary. The date of that reading is unknown.
www.silicondata.comResearch, not advice.
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. Research, not financial advice.