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MarketsPolitics

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN10 levels openCloses Jan 1, 2027Research 1h ago

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Stefan Brodie 19%Donald Brodie 14%Ryan Salame 12%Steve Bannon 9%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

10 levels open · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Stefan Brodie19%−1.0 pts——
Donald Brodie14%+5.0 pts——
Ryan Salame12%———
Steve Bannon9%+0.8 pts——
Keonne Rodriguez8%—9%—
Daniel Penny7%+0.8 pts——
Matt Gaetz7%———
Joe Exotic6%———
Roger Ver5%−0.1 pts——
Elizabeth Holmes5%+0.4 pts——

10 options trading, by chance. +18 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

1AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Stefan Brodie19%——
Donald Brodie14%——
Ryan Salame12%——
Steve Bannon9%——
Keonne Rodriguez8%9%+1
Daniel Penny7%——
+4 more options

AI analysts' average · Elizabeth Holmes

—

Biggest gap

Keonne Rodriguez: AI 9% vs market 8%, 1 pts above

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 10 options

Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
How markets resolve
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

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Elizabeth Holmes · Buy YesOption 10 of 10

Polymarket price · live

Yes6¢
No95¢
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Before you decide · Elizabeth Holmes

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