How do I trade on "Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV by October 31?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

Who will Trump speak to by October 31?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN3 levels open1 closedCloses Nov 2, 2026Research 1h ago

Polymarket price · the 3 levels nearest 50%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy 31%Pope Leo XIV 10%Xi Jinping 7%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

3 levels open · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Volodymyr Zelenskyy31%−1.5 pts28%1 · 0

Pope Leo XIV10%−4.1 pts5%1 · 0

Xi Jinping7%+1.5 pts10%none

1 closed level

Friedrich Merz>99%+9.7 pts82%—

3 options trading, by chance. +13 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Volodymyr Zelenskyy31%28%−3

Pope Leo XIV10%5%−5

Xi Jinping7%10%+3

AI analysts' average · Pope Leo XIV

5 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

Pope Leo XIV: AI 5% vs market 10%, 5 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Polymarket's geopolitics traders by 3-month profit · updated 1h ago

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

Volodymyr Zelenskyy11 · 0

Pope Leo XIV11 · 0

1 option: no ranked trader holds it

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 4 options

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered. Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question. This market will resolve at the earlier of i) a qualifying verbal interaction being confirmed under the above rules or ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe. If the date and time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered. Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question. This market will resolve at the earlier of i) a qualifying verbal interaction being confirmed under the above rules or ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe. If the date and time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Who will Trump speak to by October 31?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN3 levels open1 closedCloses Nov 2, 2026Research 1h ago

Polymarket price · the 3 levels nearest 50%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy 31%Pope Leo XIV 10%Xi Jinping 7%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

3 levels open · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Volodymyr Zelenskyy31%−1.5 pts28%1 · 0

Pope Leo XIV10%−4.1 pts5%1 · 0

Xi Jinping7%+1.5 pts10%none

1 closed level

Friedrich Merz>99%+9.7 pts82%—

3 options trading, by chance. +13 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Volodymyr Zelenskyy31%28%−3

Pope Leo XIV10%5%−5

Xi Jinping7%10%+3

AI analysts' average · Pope Leo XIV

5 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

Pope Leo XIV: AI 5% vs market 10%, 5 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Polymarket's geopolitics traders by 3-month profit · updated 1h ago

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

Volodymyr Zelenskyy11 · 0

Pope Leo XIV11 · 0

1 option: no ranked trader holds it

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 4 options

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered. Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question. This market will resolve at the earlier of i) a qualifying verbal interaction being confirmed under the above rules or ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe. If the date and time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Who will Trump speak to by October 31?

1AI analysts

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 4 options

Related Markets

Who will Trump speak to by October 31?

1AI analysts

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 4 options

Related Markets

AI analysts

AI analysts