How do I trade on "Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in November?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - November 2026

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN6 optionsCloses Nov 20, 2026Research 1h ago

Polymarket chance · top 4 of 6 options

46.0 to 48.9 47%43.0 to 45.9 23%49.0 to 51.9 19%55.0+ 3%

6 options · in level order

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

40.0 to 42.9<1%−2.8 pts3%—

43.0 to 45.923%+1.0 pts24%—

46.0 to 48.947%+7.5 pts45%—

49.0 to 51.919%−0.7 pts19%—

52.0 to 54.92%−2.1 pts3%—

55.0+3%−0.2 pts1%—

6 open levels, in level order. +1 more on Polymarket

AI analysts

1 AI analyst · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

40.0 to 42.9<1%3%+2

43.0 to 45.923%24%+1

46.0 to 48.947%45%−2

49.0 to 51.919%19%0

52.0 to 54.92%3%+1

55.0+3%1%−2

AI analysts' average · 49.0 to 51.9

19%

level with the market · 1 AI analyst

Track record

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

News

1d
Consumer Sentiment Slips Near Historic Lows Before Midterms
SuaraGarut.ID
3d
US consumer sentiment near record low ahead of midterm elections
Reuters

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 6 options

This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for November 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers. This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for November 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release. The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for November 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on November 20, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered. Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for November 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers. This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for November 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release. The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for November 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on November 20, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered. Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.

How markets resolve

University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - November 2026

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN6 optionsCloses Nov 20, 2026Research 1h ago

Polymarket chance · top 4 of 6 options

46.0 to 48.9 47%43.0 to 45.9 23%49.0 to 51.9 19%55.0+ 3%

6 options · in level order

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

40.0 to 42.9<1%−2.8 pts3%—

43.0 to 45.923%+1.0 pts24%—

46.0 to 48.947%+7.5 pts45%—

49.0 to 51.919%−0.7 pts19%—

52.0 to 54.92%−2.1 pts3%—

55.0+3%−0.2 pts1%—

6 open levels, in level order. +1 more on Polymarket

AI analysts

1 AI analyst · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

40.0 to 42.9<1%3%+2

43.0 to 45.923%24%+1

46.0 to 48.947%45%−2

49.0 to 51.919%19%0

52.0 to 54.92%3%+1

55.0+3%1%−2

AI analysts' average · 49.0 to 51.9

19%

level with the market · 1 AI analyst

Track record

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

News

1d
Consumer Sentiment Slips Near Historic Lows Before Midterms
SuaraGarut.ID
3d
US consumer sentiment near record low ahead of midterm elections
Reuters

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 6 options

Resolution criteria: This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for November 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers. This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for November 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release. The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for November 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on November 20, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered. Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.

How markets resolve

University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - November 2026

1AI analysts

2News

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 6 options

Related Markets

University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - November 2026

1AI analysts

2News

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 6 options

Related Markets

AI analysts

News

AI analysts

News