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Oscars 2027: Best Animated Short Film Winner

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN11 optionsCloses Mar 15, 2027Research 36m ago

Polymarket chance · top 4 of 11 options

With Tapes and Toasts in the Car 25%God is Shy 11%What We Leave Behind 8%Because Today is Saturday 5%

11 options · by chance

OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
With Tapes and Toasts in the Car25%+10.0 pts15%none
God is Shy11%−0.6 pts10%none
What We Leave Behind8%−7.5 pts—none
Because Today is Saturday5%—4%none
El Cuerpo de Cristo4%−12.3 pts4%none
Water Girl3%−4.6 pts4%none
Dollhouse Elephant3%−9.9 pts3%none
Dog Alone3%−3.2 pts3%none
Paper Trail3%−2.6 pts14%none
Saba<1%−0.1 pts1%none
Please<1%—5%0 · 1

11 options trading, by chance.

1AI analysts

1 AI analyst · each gives every option a chance · updated 36m ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
With Tapes and Toasts in the Car25%15%−10
God is Shy11%10%−1
What We Leave Behind8%——
Because Today is Saturday5%4%−1
El Cuerpo de Cristo4%4%0
Water Girl3%4%+1
+5 more options

AI analysts' average · Water Girl

4%

1 pts above the market · 1 AI analyst

Track record

Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 1 level, 0 price closer, on 232 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

2News

  • 1d
    2027 Oscars Short Film Contenders: ‘Saba’ Director Liron Topaz
    Cartoon Brew
  • 2d
    2027 Oscars Short Film Contenders: ‘Once In A Body’ Director María Cristina Pérez González
    Cartoon Brew
  • 4d
    2027 Oscars Short Film Contenders: ‘Because Today Is Saturday’ Director Alice Guimarães
    Cartoon Brew
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
PleaseNo 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T101 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T10 · 1

10 options: no ranked trader holds them

Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 11 options

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Animated Short Film. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Animated Short Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Animated Short Film. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Animated Short Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How markets resolve
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Water Girl · Buy YesOption 6 of 11

Polymarket price · live

Yes6¢
No100¢

Mid: The midpoint between the best price to buy and the best price to sell. When the spread is 10¢ or less, this is the chance the page shows. 3¢ · Spread: The gap between the best price to buy and the best price to sell. A wide spread means few orders near the price. 6¢

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Before you decide · Water Girl

  • News0 today · latest 1d
  • AI analysts4% · 1 pts above
  • Tiers 1–2none of the top 50
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.