MarketsTech
#1 Searched Movie on Google 2026?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN22 optionsResearch 1d ago
Obsession 49%The Odyssey 34%Spider-Man: Brand New Day 12%Backrooms 3%
22 options · by chance
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
22 options trading, by chance.
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Obsession49%44%−5
The Odyssey34%33%−1
Spider-Man: Brand New Day12%12%0
Backrooms3%3%0
Michael2%3%+1
Avengers: Doomsday2%2%0
+16 more options
AI analysts' average · Obsession
44%
5 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 1 level, 0 price closer, on 394 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
ObsessionYes protagonistprotagonist: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 2 protagonistprotagonist: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1buoysbuoys: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 02 · 0
The OdysseyYes Red781RuMRed781RuM: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No BikesAreTheBikesBikesAreTheBikes: Tier 1, #9 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 Red781RuMRed781RuM: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 BikesAreTheBikesBikesAreTheBikes: Tier 1, #9 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 · 1
Spider-Man: Brand New DayYes protagonistprotagonist: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No Red781RuMRed781RuM: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 protagonistprotagonist: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 Red781RuMRed781RuM: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 · 1
Avengers: DoomsdayYes protagonistprotagonist: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 2 protagonistprotagonist: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1Red781RuMRed781RuM: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 02 · 0
18 options: no ranked trader holds them
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
Show rulesHide rules
- In plain English
- Resolves Yes if Obsession is ranked #1 in Google's official Year in Search 2026 Global 'Movies' list (trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/, then Global → Entertainment → Movies). Search terms that clearly refer to a listed title count toward that title. A term that clearly refers to several listed titles goes to the one that comes first alphabetically. The market can resolve as soon as the list is released. If Google has not released the list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, it resolves 'Other'…
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve according to the movie ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search Global “Movies” list for 2026. The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Entertainment → Movies. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. A search term that clearly refers to a term listed in this market (for example, abbreviations, alternate spellings, or closely related phrasing) will count toward the term as listed in this market. If a search term clearly refers to multiple terms listed in this market, this market will resolve according to the term that comes first alphabetically as listed in this market. This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
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