How do I trade on "Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

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#2 US Spotify Song 2026

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN11 optionsCloses Dec 31, 2026Research 8d ago

Polymarket chance · top 4 of 11 options

Man I Need – Olivia Dean 63%Earrings – Malcom Todd 38%Choosin Texas – Ella Langley <1%Die With A Smile – Lady Gaga & Bruno Mars <1%

11 options · by chance

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Man I Need – Olivia Dean63%+0.1 pts56%4 · 0

Earrings – Malcom Todd38%+3.5 pts25%4 · 0

Choosin Texas – Ella Langley<1%—4%none

Die With A Smile – Lady Gaga & Bruno Mars<1%—1%none

Risk It All – Bruno Mars<1%—3%none

Drop Dead – Olivia Rodrigo<1%—3%none

Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj<1%—1%none

Dai Dai – Shakira & Burna Boy<1%—1%none

APT. – ROSÉ & Bruno Mars———none

Swim – BTS———none

Billie Jean – Michael Jackson———none

11 options trading, by chance. +2 more on Polymarket

AI analysts

4 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 8d ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Man I Need – Olivia Dean63%56%−7

Earrings – Malcom Todd38%25%−13

Choosin Texas – Ella Langley<1%4%+4

Die With A Smile – Lady Gaga & Bruno Mars<1%1%+1

Risk It All – Bruno Mars<1%3%+3

Drop Dead – Olivia Rodrigo<1%3%+3

+5 more options

AI analysts' average · Man I Need – Olivia Dean

56%

7 pts below the market · 4 AI analysts

Track record

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

News

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's music chart traders by 3-month profit · updated 1h ago

OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No

Man I Need – Olivia DeanYes shovelingdigging T1 4 shovelingdigging T1buoys T1 04 · 0

Earrings – Malcom ToddYes shovelingdigging T1 4 shovelingdigging T1buoys T1 04 · 0

9 options: no ranked trader holds them

Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 11 options

Show rulesHide rules

In plain English: Yes if Spotify's official 2026 US Wrapped list, expected in early December, ranks 'Man I Need' by Olivia Dean as the #2 most-streamed US song of 2026. If Spotify hasn't published the #2 US song by 2027-01-31 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves 'Other'.
Resolution criteria: Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed song (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify song in the US for 2026. This market will resolve according to the name of the song listed by Spotify as the #2 song in the US of 2026. The named songs will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more songs are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If Spotify does not release who their #2 song in the US for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped. Note: This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.

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