Alaska Governor Election Winner
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN1 optionResearch 2h ago
Bernadette Wilson 12%
1 option · by chance
1 option trading, by chance. +21 more on Polymarket
AI analysts
AI analysts' average · Bernadette Wilson
5 pts above the market · 4 AI analysts
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 4 level, 0 price closer, on 313–545 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
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- In plain English
- Bernadette Wilson resolves Yes if Bernadette Wilson wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election scheduled for November 3, 2026, and No otherwise. The market resolves once the Associated Press, Fox News and NBC all call the race for the same candidate. If they haven't, it resolves on official certification. If the result isn't confirmed by July 31, 2027, it resolves to 'Other'.
- Watch out
- The market resolves only when AP, Fox News and NBC all call the race for the same candidate. If they don't, it falls back to official certification, and if nothing is confirmed by July 31, 2027, it resolves to 'Other'.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
