Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN1 level openResearch 1h ago
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? 4%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.
1 level open
1 option trading.
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AI analysts' average · Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
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Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 1 level, 1 price closer, on 358–544 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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- In plain English
- Resolves Yes if the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act (H.R.3633) passes both chambers of Congress and is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise No.
- Watch out
- The bill must pass both chambers and be signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Passage by one chamber, or a vote without signature, does not count.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.
