MarketsPolitics
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 16 - October 23, 2026?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Resolved0 options4 closedResearch 7d ago
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OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
0 options trading. +4 more on Polymarket
The calls
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
AI analysts' average · 200+
62%
38 pts below the market · 3 AI analysts
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 3 level, 0 price closer, on 312–544 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
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News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Rules
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- In plain English
- Yes if the xtracker.The source market 'Post Counter' for @realDonaldTrump (main feed posts, quote posts and reposts; replies excluded unless on the main feed) between 2026-10-16 12:00 PM ET and 2026-10-23 12:00 PM ET is 200 or more. Otherwise No.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between October 16, 12:00 PM ET and October 23, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
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