How do I trade on "Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

Highest grossing movie in 2026?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN13 optionsCloses Jan 8, 2027Research 13h ago

Polymarket chance · top 4 of 13 options

Spider-Man: Brand New Day 94%Avengers: Doomsday 7%Scream 7 <1%The Odyssey <1%

13 options · by chance

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Spider-Man: Brand New Day94%+2.0 pts95%1 · 0

Avengers: Doomsday7%−1.6 pts2%0 · 1

Scream 7<1%+0.1 pts1%none

The Odyssey<1%+0.1 pts1%1 · 0

Dune: Messiah<1%+0.1 pts1%none

Project Hail Mary<1%+0.1 pts1%none

Wicked: For Good———none

Wuthering Heights———none

Michael———none

Toy Story 5———none

The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping———none

The Super Mario Galaxy Movie———none

Jumanji 3———none

13 options trading, by chance. +1 more on Polymarket

AI analysts

4 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 13h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Spider-Man: Brand New Day94%95%+1

Avengers: Doomsday7%2%−5

Scream 7<1%1%+1

The Odyssey<1%1%+1

Dune: Messiah<1%1%+1

Project Hail Mary<1%1%+1

+7 more options

AI analysts' average · Spider-Man: Brand New Day

95%

1 pts above the market · 4 AI analysts

Track record

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

News

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's movie traders by 3-month profit · updated 3h ago

OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No

Spider-Man: Brand New DayYes Red781RuM T11 Red781RuM T101 · 0

Avengers: DoomsdayNo BikesAreTheBikes T101 BikesAreTheBikes T10 · 1

The OdysseyYes BikesAreTheBikes T11 BikesAreTheBikes T101 · 0

10 options: no ranked trader holds them

Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 13 options

Spider-Man: Brand New Day resolves Yes if it has the highest 2026 domestic calendar-year gross in the 'Gross' column on Box Office Mojo's 2026 calendar-grosses page once December 31 data is available. Only grosses earned in 2026 count. An exact tie goes to the film that comes first alphabetically. If no final data is available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source will be chosen.Show rulesHide rules

In plain English: Spider-Man: Brand New Day resolves Yes if it has the highest 2026 domestic calendar-year gross in the 'Gross' column on Box Office Mojo's 2026 calendar-grosses page once December 31 data is available. Only grosses earned in 2026 count. An exact tie goes to the film that comes first alphabetically. If no final data is available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source will be chosen.
Resolution criteria: This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

How markets resolve