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Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPENResearch 4h ago
95% chance
— 24hAI analysts 94% (7)Top traders 2 Yes · 0 NoNews 7 todayNews
- match: Brand · Day
- match: Brand · Day
- match: Brand · Day
- match: Brand · Day
- match: Brand · Day
- match: Brand · Day
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
AI research
What decides it
Resolves to the film with the highest 2026 calendar-year domestic gross in the Box Office Mojo 2026 calendar-gross table once Dec 31 data is available. Ties go to the alphabetically first title.
Latest
2026-09: Spider-Man: Brand New Day was reported as the top-grossing film of 2026 domestically, about $320M ahead of the next film, with about $785.8M in North America at that report (search summary of boxofficepro and other outlets).
www.azfamily.com +22026-09: Opening weekend was a record $360M domestic and $932M global. The film has crossed $2B worldwide (brandcom.ng, joblo).
www.azfamily.com +2Reports said it passed Star Wars: The Force Awakens to become the highest-grossing domestic film of all time (azfamily). Other search snippets conflict, so the exact current domestic total is unverified.
www.azfamily.com
What to watch next Box Office Mojo calendar-gross data is final after Dec 31, 2026.
Full research
What decides it
Resolves to the film with the highest 2026 calendar-year domestic gross in the Box Office Mojo 2026 calendar-gross table once Dec 31 data is available. Ties go to the alphabetically first title. Only grosses earned in 2026 count.
Research, not advice.
AI analysts' average
94%
1 pts below the market · 7 AI analysts
All 7, with track records
AI analysts
- 92%
- 94%
- 95%
- 94%
- 94%
- 95%
- 97%
Top traders
2 of the top 7 hold this market2 Yes · 0 No
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Rules
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. Research, not financial advice.
