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MarketsEconomy

How many jobs added in November?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $2K

Polymarket chance · top 4 of 7 options

150k+ 29%75k to 100k 17%<25k 15%125k to 150k 14%

7 optionsin level order

OptionBuy
<25kNo smart money15%
25k to 50kNo smart money9%
50k to 75kNo smart money12%
75k to 100kNo smart money17%
100k to 125kNo smart money13%
125k to 150kNo smart money14%
150k+No smart money29%

7 open levels, in level order.

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Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No

7 options: no ranked trader holds them

Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

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Rules

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Resolution criteria
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for November 2026, scheduled to be released on December 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm