How do I trade on "Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 70,000 and 75,000?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

Nikkei 225: Close Price End of 2026

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN5 optionsCloses Dec 31, 2026Research 4d ago

Polymarket chance · top 4 of 5 options

70,000-75,000 23%<55,000 15%85,000+ 6%80,000-85,000 6%

5 options

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

<55,00015%—13%none

70,000-75,00023%+6.5 pts15%none

75,000-80,0006%+1.3 pts4%none

80,000-85,0006%+1.0 pts2%none

85,000+6%—1%none

5 options trading. +3 more on Polymarket

AI analysts

2 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 4d ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

<55,00015%13%−2

70,000-75,00023%15%−8

75,000-80,0006%4%−2

80,000-85,0006%2%−4

85,000+6%1%−5

AI analysts' average · 70,000-75,000

15%

8 pts below the market · 2 AI analysts

Track record

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

News

16h
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1d
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1d
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1d
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Livemint
2d
Nikkei Falls 0.8% for Third Straight Session as Advantest and Tokyo Electron Drag Tokyo Stocks Before Fed, BOJ
International Business Times Australia
2d
Nikkei 225 and KOSPI Close Lower as South Korea’s Index Falls More
TOKENPOST
2d
Global Market: Japan's Nikkei falls for third straight session as chip stocks slide
The Economic Times
2d
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BigGo Finance
2d
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2d
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2d
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investingLive
4d
Nikkei 225 Dips to 62,693.16 as Tech Stocks Recover Early Losses Amid US-Iran Tensions
BBN Times
5d
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BigGo Finance
5d
Nikkei Average Plunges More Than 1,400 Points Intraday as 6.7% SOX Rout Hits AI, Semiconductor Stocks
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5d
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5d
Nikkei 225 closes 2.7 percent lower after AI selloff
AD HOC NEWS
5d
Nikkei 225 closes 2.7 percent lower as AI stocks sell off
AD HOC NEWS
6d
Japan stocks lower at close of trade; Nikkei 225 down 2.40%
Investing.com
6d
Asian Stock Markets Today: Nikkei 225 Rebounds While SSE Composite, Hang Seng and BSE SENSEX Fall
BBN Times
6d
Nikkei ESG-REIT Net Total Retur (^NENR.OS) latest stock news and headlines
Yahoo Finance Australia

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit

OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No

5 options: no ranked trader holds them

Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 5 options

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In plain English: 70,000-75,000 resolves Yes if the Yahoo Finance (^N225) 'Close' for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 falls in the option's range. A value exactly on a boundary goes to the higher bracket. If no official close is published, the last valid regular-session trade price is used.
Resolution criteria: This market will resolve according to the official closing price for the Nikkei 225 (NI225) on the final trading day of December 2026, reported in JPY. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nikkei 225 (^N225) "Close" prices available at (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EN225/history/), published under "Historical Data.”

How markets resolve