MarketsEconomy
November Inflation China - Monthly
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $60
≤0.0% 70%0.1% 41%0.2% 28%0.3% 24%
5 optionsin level order
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.Buy
≤0.0%No smart money70%
0.1%No smart money41%
0.2%No smart money28%
0.3%No smart money24%
≥0.4%No smart money3%
5 open levels, in level order.
AI analysts
The AI analysts are reviewing this market. Usually within the hour.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
5 options: no ranked trader holds them
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
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- Resolution criteria
- This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in China as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China. This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by in November 2026 (% change from the previous month) according to the monthly NBS report. The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for November 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in December 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for November 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in November 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate M/M (%)". Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports monthly inflation to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/