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US$5,000 forecasting contest · Free · No purchase necessary · US & Canada 18+ · Opens at 1,000 entrantsOpens at 1,000 entrants

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MarketsEconomy

November Inflation US - Monthly

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $2.5K

Polymarket chance · top 4 of 10 options

0.0% 38%0.1% 26%-0.1% 22%0.2% 10%

10 optionsin level order

OptionBuy
≤-0.3%No smart money3%
-0.2%No smart money7%
-0.1%No smart money22%
0.0%No smart money38%
0.1%No smart money26%
0.2%No smart money10%
0.3%No smart money3%
0.4%No smart money3%
0.5%No smart money3%
≥0.6%No smart money2%

10 open levels, in level order.

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Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No

10 options: no ranked trader holds them

Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules

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Resolution criteria
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in November 2026 according to the monthly BLS report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for November 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on December 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.