How do I trade on "Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

October Inflation China - Annual

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN5 optionsCloses Nov 10, 2026Research 3d ago

Polymarket chance · top 4 of 5 options

0.7% to 0.8% 40%0.9% to 1.0% 29%≤0.6% 20%1.1% to 1.2% 12%

5 options · in level order

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

≤0.6%20%−3.6 pts15%—

0.7% to 0.8%40%−2.5 pts39%—

0.9% to 1.0%29%+1.0 pts34%—

1.1% to 1.2%12%+7.0 pts9%—

1.3%+<1%+0.1 pts1%—

5 open levels, in level order.

AI analysts

4 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 3d ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

≤0.6%20%15%−5

0.7% to 0.8%40%39%−1

0.9% to 1.0%29%34%+5

1.1% to 1.2%12%9%−3

1.3%+<1%1%+1

AI analysts' average · 0.7% to 0.8%

39%

1 pts below the market · 4 AI analysts

Track record

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

News

6d
China's Silver Trade Flip and an Oil-Fuelled Inflation Scare Are Pulling Silver in Opposite Directio
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Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 5 options

Show rulesHide rules

In plain English: Yes if NBS reports October 2026 CPI y/y of 0.7% or 0.8%; otherwise No.
Resolution criteria: This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending October 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China. This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending October 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report. The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for October 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in November 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for October 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in October 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)". Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/

How markets resolve