MarketsMovies & TV
Oscars 2027: Best Film Editing Nominations
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN12 levels openResearch 2d ago
You Can See Everything 66%Wild Horse Nine 63%Dune: Part Three 60%The Debut 47%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.
12 levels open · by chance
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
12 options trading, by chance. +1 more on Polymarket
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
The Black Ball99%66%−33
The Odyssey96%88%−8
You Can See Everything66%38%−28
Wild Horse Nine63%55%−8
Dune: Part Three60%46%−14
The Debut47%25%−22
+6 more options
AI analysts' average · The Black Ball
66%
33 pts below the market · 2 AI analysts
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 2 level, 0 price closer, on 313–360 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
Club KidNo jimmer-fredettejimmer-fredette: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 03 jimmer-fredettejimmer-fredette: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1wolfmoonwolfmoon: Tier 1, #8 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 0 · 3
You Can See EverythingYes sollydisasollydisa: Tier 1, #6 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No QR1QR1: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 sollydisasollydisa: Tier 1, #6 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 QR1QR1: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 · 1
The InviteYes wolfmoonwolfmoon: Tier 1, #8 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 2 wolfmoonwolfmoon: Tier 1, #8 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1title1title1: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 02 · 0
The OdysseyYes title1title1: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 title1title1: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 · 0
Wild Horse NineYes title1title1: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 title1title1: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 · 0
The DebutNo QR1QR1: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T101 QR1QR1: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T10 · 1
InkNo 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T101 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T10 · 1
5 options: no ranked trader holds them
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
Show rulesHide rules
- In plain English
- The market resolves Yes if The Black Ball is officially nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards when nominations are announced (scheduled January 21, 2027). Otherwise it resolves No, including if no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
- Resolution criteria
- The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Film Editing. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Film Editing when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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