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MarketsMovies & TV

Oscars 2027: Best Film Editing Nominations

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN9 levels openCloses Mar 15, 2027

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

The Black Ball 77%Wild Horse Nine 61%Dune: Part Three 37%Ink 26%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

9 levels open · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
The Odyssey86%+5.0 pts88%1 · 0
The Black Ball77%−1.0 pts40%none
Wild Horse Nine61%−0.5 pts45%1 · 0
Dune: Part Three37%−8.5 pts52%none
Ink26%−13.0 pts23%0 · 1
The Debut23%−4.5 pts23%none
Elsinore22%+6.0 pts12%none
Club Kid22%−8.0 pts12%0 · 2
Digger19%+0.5 pts22%none

9 options trading, by chance. +4 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

1AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
The Odyssey86%88%+2
The Black Ball77%40%−37
Wild Horse Nine61%45%−16
Dune: Part Three37%52%+15
Ink26%23%−3
The Debut23%23%0
+3 more options

AI analysts' average · Club Kid

12%

10 pts below the market · 2 AI analysts

Biggest gap

The Black Ball: AI 40% vs market 77%, 37 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's film awards traders by 3-month profit · updated 1h ago
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
Club Kid20 · 2
The Odyssey11 · 0
Wild Horse Nine11 · 0
Ink10 · 1

5 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 9 options

Resolution criteria
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Film Editing. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Film Editing when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

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Club Kid · Buy YesOption 8 of 9

Polymarket price · live

Yes24¢
No81¢
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Before you decide · Club Kid

  • News0 today · latest 5d
  • AI analysts12% · 10 pts below
  • Tiers 1–20 Yes · 2 No
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.